United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2007 through results of 2008 JANUARY 7 MONDAY
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is UNBIASED now.
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(3) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced
by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule
difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the
opponent and the location of the game.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 242 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the ELO-CHESS is then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is now unbiased.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 LSU A = 93.39 12 2 76.26( 11) 2 0 | 5 2 | 94.21 1 | 92.43 4 2 Kansas A = 92.78 12 1 67.68( 74) 1 1 | 2 1 | 93.67 2 | 91.76 7 3 West Virginia A = 92.29 11 2 73.61( 40) 1 0 | 2 1 | 89.40 5 | 95.80 1 4 Southern California A = 90.94 11 2 74.45( 29) 0 1 | 4 1 | 89.40 6 | 92.38 5 5 Oklahoma A = 90.66 11 3 73.10( 44) 2 1 | 4 2 | 87.53 8 | 94.55 2 6 Missouri A = 90.48 12 2 75.19( 25) 1 2 | 4 2 | 89.75 4 | 90.97 8 7 Georgia A = 89.83 11 2 75.35( 23) 1 0 | 4 1 | 90.96 3 | 88.61 9 8 Oregon A = 88.19 9 4 77.40( 5) 1 0 | 4 2 | 84.54 13 | 92.98 3 9 Virginia Tech A = 87.84 11 3 73.90( 36) 0 2 | 2 3 | 87.67 7 | 87.75 11 10 Florida A = 87.59 9 4 77.47( 3) 0 2 | 2 4 | 83.99 16 | 92.23 6 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Ohio State A = 87.48 11 2 71.25( 53) 0 1 | 2 2 | 86.76 9 | 87.96 10 12 Texas A = 85.14 10 3 72.27( 47) 0 1 | 3 1 | 84.88 12 | 85.13 12 13 Auburn A = 84.42 9 4 74.01( 35) 1 2 | 3 3 | 85.74 11 | 83.02 17 14 Arizona State A = 84.35 10 3 75.73( 19) 0 2 | 2 3 | 83.98 17 | 84.47 13 15 Tennessee A = 84.31 10 4 76.79( 9) 1 2 | 3 3 | 86.60 10 | 82.19 19 16 Oregon State A = 83.18 9 4 75.80( 16) 1 1 | 2 3 | 84.22 14 | 82.00 22 17 BYU A = 83.18 11 2 70.66( 59) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.14 15 | 82.06 21 18 Kentucky A = 83.02 8 5 75.78( 17) 1 2 | 2 3 | 83.02 20 | 82.76 18 19 Cincinnati A = 82.81 10 3 68.39( 69) 0 1 | 2 1 | 81.25 23 | 84.24 14 20 South Florida A = 82.45 9 4 75.60( 21) 1 1 | 2 2 | 80.85 24 | 83.91 15 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 21 Michigan A = 82.27 9 4 73.89( 37) 1 1 | 3 2 | 83.46 19 | 80.97 24 22 Clemson A = 81.93 9 4 73.14( 41) 0 1 | 1 3 | 80.15 30 | 83.60 16 23 Boston College A = 81.61 11 3 72.87( 45) 1 1 | 3 1 | 83.74 18 | 79.57 30 24 Texas Tech A = 81.46 9 4 68.51( 68) 1 1 | 1 3 | 80.52 27 | 82.17 20 25 Arkansas A = 81.39 8 5 73.12( 43) 1 1 | 1 4 | 80.78 25 | 81.74 23 26 Penn State A = 80.60 9 4 70.00( 63) 0 0 | 0 3 | 80.18 29 | 80.76 25 27 Oklahoma State A = 79.56 7 6 75.76( 18) 0 3 | 1 4 | 78.32 37 | 80.59 26 28 Wake Forest A = 79.50 9 4 72.14( 49) 0 0 | 0 2 | 80.37 28 | 78.44 34 29 California A = 79.33 7 6 76.90( 7) 1 1 | 2 3 | 78.84 32 | 79.56 31 30 Illinois A = 79.27 9 4 73.12( 42) 0 2 | 2 3 | 80.57 26 | 77.85 38 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 31 Alabama A = 79.26 7 6 74.37( 30) 0 2 | 2 3 | 79.10 31 | 79.14 33 32 South Carolina A = 79.23 6 6 76.88( 8) 1 2 | 2 5 | 78.70 33 | 79.51 32 33 UCLA A = 78.74 6 7 78.90( 1) 1 1 | 4 3 | 76.82 41 | 80.57 27 34 Utah A = 78.46 9 4 70.58( 60) 0 0 | 0 2 | 78.33 36 | 78.34 35 35 Hawaii A = 78.10 12 1 58.47( 132) 0 1 | 0 1 | 81.43 22 | 75.17 50 36 Wisconsin A = 77.83 9 4 70.84( 57) 0 0 | 1 4 | 78.67 34 | 76.79 41 37 Mississippi State A = 77.69 8 5 74.18( 33) 0 2 | 2 4 | 82.93 21 | 73.56 56 38 Rutgers A = 77.24 8 5 69.16( 65) 0 1 | 1 2 | 74.31 48 | 80.37 28 39 Connecticut A = 77.05 9 4 70.19( 61) 0 1 | 1 3 | 77.44 39 | 76.42 43 40 Florida State A = 77.01 7 6 75.36( 22) 0 2 | 1 5 | 77.02 40 | 76.75 42 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 41 Virginia A = 76.93 9 4 72.19( 48) 0 1 | 1 2 | 77.55 38 | 76.09 45 42 Texas A&M A = 76.41 7 6 74.96( 26) 0 3 | 2 5 | 76.67 42 | 75.90 46 43 Arizona A = 76.40 5 7 77.22( 6) 1 1 | 1 5 | 74.49 46 | 78.20 36 44 Appalachian State AA = 75.73 13 2 59.66( 123) 0 0 | 1 0 | 78.50 35 | 73.13 58 45 Louisville A = 75.58 6 6 71.73( 51) 0 1 | 1 3 | 73.89 50 | 77.11 40 46 Central Florida A = 75.46 10 4 65.20( 83) 0 0 | 0 2 | 75.30 43 | 75.37 48 47 Michigan State A = 75.29 7 6 71.35( 52) 0 0 | 1 3 | 73.17 58 | 77.32 39 48 Boise State A = 75.13 10 3 61.12( 113) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.11 67 | 79.76 29 49 Air Force A = 74.94 9 4 67.79( 72) 0 0 | 0 2 | 74.59 44 | 75.02 51 50 TCU A = 74.78 8 5 68.58( 67) 0 0 | 0 2 | 74.11 49 | 75.19 49 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 51 Maryland A = 74.75 6 7 74.85( 27) 0 1 | 1 4 | 73.77 54 | 75.48 47 52 Kansas State A = 74.59 5 7 73.70( 38) 0 2 | 1 4 | 71.37 65 | 78.04 37 53 Troy A = 74.31 8 4 66.83( 78) 0 2 | 1 3 | 73.80 53 | 74.55 52 54 Vanderbilt A = 74.19 5 7 75.80( 15) 0 2 | 0 6 | 73.84 52 | 74.27 53 55 Washington A = 73.81 4 9 78.44( 2) 0 2 | 1 5 | 71.28 66 | 76.34 44 56 Colorado A = 73.81 6 7 75.86( 14) 1 2 | 2 3 | 73.32 57 | 74.04 55 57 Purdue A = 73.76 8 5 67.80( 71) 0 0 | 0 3 | 73.09 59 | 74.18 54 58 New Mexico A = 73.48 9 4 65.17( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 73.85 51 | 72.87 59 59 Georgia Tech A = 73.07 7 6 70.00( 62) 0 2 | 1 3 | 72.51 61 | 73.37 57 60 Fresno State A = 72.71 9 4 64.32( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 74.42 47 | 70.90 64 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 61 Nebraska A = 72.69 5 7 77.45( 4) 0 3 | 1 5 | 73.40 56 | 71.77 60 62 Northern Iowa AA = 72.33 12 1 53.39( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.54 45 | 70.10 66 63 Washington State A = 72.29 5 7 76.04( 12) 0 2 | 0 5 | 73.46 55 | 70.95 63 64 East Carolina A = 71.37 8 5 67.31( 76) 0 2 | 0 2 | 71.49 64 | 71.00 62 65 Tulsa A = 70.69 10 4 63.46( 99) 0 1 | 1 1 | 72.01 62 | 69.21 68 66 Pittsburgh A = 70.43 5 7 72.39( 46) 1 0 | 2 1 | 69.28 71 | 71.34 61 67 Richmond AA = 70.13 11 3 58.62( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.68 60 | 67.59 76 68 NC State A = 69.69 5 7 74.33( 31) 0 0 | 0 3 | 71.66 63 | 67.62 74 69 North Carolina A = 69.61 4 8 74.11( 34) 0 1 | 0 3 | 68.15 77 | 70.86 65 70 Stanford A = 69.05 4 8 76.29( 10) 1 1 | 2 3 | 69.72 70 | 68.16 69 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 71 North Dakota State AA = 68.80 10 1 50.03( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.25 72 | 68.11 71 72 Indiana A = 68.70 7 6 65.69( 82) 0 0 | 0 3 | 69.03 74 | 68.13 70 73 Delaware AA = 68.64 11 4 60.12( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.42 69 | 66.73 82 74 Navy A = 68.40 8 5 64.99( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.04 73 | 67.52 77 75 Miami-Florida A = 68.18 5 7 71.87( 50) 0 2 | 0 3 | 68.77 75 | 67.34 79 76 Southern Illinois AA = 68.14 12 2 51.09( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.57 76 | 67.47 78 77 Massachusetts AA = 67.97 10 3 57.46( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.65 78 | 68.03 72 78 Florida Atlantic A = 67.78 8 5 66.21( 80) 0 1 | 0 4 | 70.72 68 | 64.86 86 79 Iowa A = 67.70 6 6 67.61( 75) 0 0 | 1 1 | 67.52 79 | 67.60 75 80 Mississippi A = 67.64 3 9 75.93( 13) 0 4 | 0 6 | 65.86 86 | 69.22 67 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 81 James Madison AA = 66.66 8 4 57.12( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.30 84 | 66.77 81 82 Central Michigan A = 66.44 8 6 65.09( 86) 0 1 | 0 2 | 66.66 82 | 65.96 85 83 Ball State A = 65.90 7 6 64.55( 94) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.93 89 | 66.63 83 84 Houston A = 65.76 8 5 60.04( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.98 94 | 67.32 80 85 Wyoming A = 65.40 5 7 69.66( 64) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.42 83 | 64.16 88 86 Northwestern A = 65.30 6 6 67.92( 70) 0 0 | 0 3 | 67.07 80 | 63.35 90 87 Wofford AA = 65.24 9 4 57.68( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.05 81 | 63.26 91 88 Southern Miss A = 64.80 7 6 62.03( 109) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.81 100 | 67.69 73 89 San Diego State A = 64.66 4 8 71.11( 55) 0 0 | 0 3 | 65.46 87 | 63.62 89 90 Notre Dame A = 64.55 3 9 75.27( 24) 0 1 | 0 4 | 65.87 85 | 63.03 93 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 91 Colorado State A = 64.02 3 9 71.02( 56) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.75 101 | 66.10 84 92 Iowa State A = 63.88 3 9 75.62( 20) 0 3 | 0 5 | 64.28 93 | 63.22 92 93 Villanova AA = 63.55 7 4 59.37( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.45 88 | 61.47 100 94 Elon AA = 62.81 7 4 60.33( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.50 91 | 60.91 102 95 Louisiana-Monroe A = 62.59 6 6 64.61( 93) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.76 90 | 60.25 107 96 New Hampshire AA = 62.48 7 5 57.09( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.51 98 | 62.18 96 97 Georgia Southern AA = 62.35 7 4 58.79( 128) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.05 95 | 61.41 101 98 South Dakota State AA = 62.30 7 4 53.20( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.60 111 | 64.82 87 99 Bowling Green A = 62.27 8 5 61.85( 111) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.46 92 | 59.91 109 100 McNeese State AA = 61.81 11 1 44.69( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.22 103 | 62.14 97 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 101 Middle Tennessee A = 61.78 5 7 64.97( 90) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.75 105 | 62.55 94 102 Nevada A = 61.58 6 7 62.58( 106) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.50 107 | 62.40 95 103 Citadel AA = 60.94 7 4 55.92( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.53 97 | 59.13 114 104 Montana AA = 60.86 11 1 44.80( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.98 96 | 58.53 121 105 Youngstown State AA = 60.83 7 4 55.00( 141) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.47 113 | 61.94 98 106 Western Michigan A = 60.23 5 7 63.40( 101) 0 2 | 0 2 | 58.64 117 | 61.57 99 107 Furman AA = 60.11 6 5 58.66( 130) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.50 102 | 58.49 122 108 Hofstra AA = 59.94 7 4 54.77( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.86 110 | 59.76 111 109 Duke A = 59.70 1 11 74.54( 28) 0 1 | 0 3 | 58.47 118 | 60.66 105 110 Eastern Washington AA = 59.67 9 4 52.16( 152) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.29 119 | 60.79 103 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 111 Louisiana Tech A = 59.47 5 7 65.86( 81) 0 1 | 0 2 | 60.04 109 | 58.65 119 112 San Jose State A = 59.23 5 7 65.06( 87) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.28 108 | 57.94 124 113 Syracuse A = 59.12 2 10 74.26( 32) 0 1 | 0 4 | 60.73 106 | 57.28 125 114 Ohio University A = 59.11 6 6 58.94( 127) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.96 114 | 58.99 116 115 Buffalo A = 58.88 5 7 62.40( 107) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.51 112 | 57.99 123 116 Miami-Ohio A = 58.78 6 7 63.83( 97) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.16 104 | 56.17 129 117 Baylor A = 58.75 3 9 73.62( 39) 0 2 | 0 5 | 61.82 99 | 55.48 133 118 Western Kentucky A = 58.71 7 5 54.08( 145) 0 1 | 0 1 | 57.71 123 | 59.45 113 119 Arkansas State A = 58.71 5 7 62.89( 104) 0 0 | 0 2 | 58.27 120 | 58.89 117 120 UNLV A = 58.63 2 10 70.75( 58) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.11 125 | 59.90 110 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 121 Yale AA = 58.15 9 1 42.48( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.53 131 | 60.52 106 122 Western Illinois AA = 57.83 6 5 56.25( 139) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.21 121 | 57.19 126 123 Minnesota A = 57.72 1 11 71.12( 54) 0 0 | 0 3 | 54.51 134 | 60.68 104 124 Memphis A = 57.69 7 6 58.74( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.76 115 | 56.37 128 125 Marshall A = 57.60 3 9 67.71( 73) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.89 129 | 59.04 115 126 Toledo A = 57.49 5 7 63.44( 100) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.69 116 | 56.02 130 127 Akron A = 56.67 4 8 64.05( 96) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.34 124 | 55.74 131 128 Eastern Michigan A = 56.25 4 8 62.87( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.82 126 | 55.41 134 129 Liberty AA = 56.10 8 3 42.73( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.69 141 | 60.21 108 130 UTEP A = 55.94 4 8 60.40( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 52.81 138 | 58.78 118 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 131 Army A = 55.51 3 9 67.21( 77) 0 0 | 0 2 | 56.36 127 | 54.40 135 132 Harvard AA = 54.77 8 2 45.04( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.65 139 | 56.62 127 133 Holy Cross AA = 54.72 7 4 47.22( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.44 148 | 58.63 120 134 Dayton AA = 54.44 11 1 35.77( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.00 133 | 53.60 137 135 Temple A = 54.31 4 8 61.81( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.66 130 | 52.67 142 136 Eastern Kentucky AA = 54.07 9 3 44.91( 182) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.31 128 | 51.51 148 137 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 53.98 3 9 65.00( 88) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.26 135 | 53.43 139 138 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 53.74 7 4 45.72( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.22 170 | 59.66 112 139 Kent State A = 53.41 3 9 63.27( 102) 0 0 | 0 2 | 53.39 136 | 53.16 140 140 William & Mary AA = 53.40 4 7 60.82( 118) 0 1 | 0 1 | 55.36 132 | 51.12 153 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 141 Tulane A = 52.97 4 8 60.90( 117) 0 1 | 0 1 | 51.47 142 | 54.19 136 142 Utah State A = 52.55 2 10 66.77( 79) 0 1 | 0 1 | 49.05 159 | 55.66 132 143 Delaware State AA = 52.43 10 2 42.82( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.99 122 | 46.12 176 144 Sam Houston State AA = 51.77 7 4 52.02( 153) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.83 140 | 51.44 149 145 Northeastern AA = 51.75 3 8 59.51( 124) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.43 143 | 51.81 147 146 UC Davis AA = 51.35 5 6 52.89( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.30 152 | 52.13 144 147 Illinois State AA = 51.03 4 7 54.72( 143) 0 1 | 0 1 | 48.74 162 | 53.00 141 148 Fordham AA = 51.03 8 4 44.43( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.80 146 | 50.99 155 149 Missouri State AA = 50.98 6 5 51.76( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.10 137 | 48.49 165 150 Northern Illinois A = 50.86 2 10 61.94( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.88 165 | 53.45 138 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 151 SC State AA = 50.81 7 4 45.74( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.37 150 | 50.98 156 152 Rice A = 50.78 3 9 62.10( 108) 0 0 | 0 2 | 49.28 157 | 51.98 146 153 New Mexico State A = 50.73 4 9 61.04( 116) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.06 158 | 52.10 145 154 Grambling AA = 50.46 8 4 43.99( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.37 151 | 50.28 159 155 Colgate AA = 50.41 7 4 46.05( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.35 155 | 51.20 152 156 Albany-NY AA = 50.24 8 4 42.03( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.76 147 | 49.43 161 157 UAB A = 50.23 2 10 65.20( 84) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.83 160 | 51.35 150 158 Northern Arizona AA = 50.03 6 5 51.56( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.77 161 | 51.02 154 159 Chattanooga AA = 49.66 2 9 61.08( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.73 167 | 51.26 151 160 Rhode Island AA = 49.38 3 8 59.15( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.39 149 | 48.07 166 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 161 Maine AA = 49.29 4 7 56.45( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.22 144 | 46.97 171 162 Central Arkansas AA = 48.76 6 5 48.12( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.45 154 | 47.78 169 163 Towson AA = 48.73 3 8 56.71( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.49 163 | 48.71 164 164 San Diego AA = 48.72 9 2 33.47( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.82 166 | 49.34 162 165 Jackson State AA = 48.70 8 4 38.84( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.81 145 | 46.18 174 166 Stony Brook AA = 48.15 6 5 48.74( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.33 156 | 46.65 172 167 Lafayette AA = 48.11 7 4 41.01( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.94 176 | 50.82 157 168 North Texas A = 47.45 2 10 64.86( 91) 0 1 | 0 2 | 48.40 164 | 46.19 173 169 SMU A = 47.44 1 11 63.04( 103) 0 0 | 0 1 | 41.32 186 | 52.50 143 170 Fla. International A = 47.42 1 11 69.12( 66) 0 1 | 0 3 | 47.45 169 | 47.12 170 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 171 Lehigh AA = 47.05 5 6 46.00( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.67 179 | 49.93 160 172 Nicholls State AA = 47.01 6 5 48.55( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.92 174 | 47.82 168 173 Eastern Illinois AA = 46.54 8 4 42.22( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.10 171 | 45.69 178 174 Norfolk State AA = 46.19 8 3 42.57( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.45 153 | 42.22 193 175 Idaho A = 45.97 1 11 64.78( 92) 0 1 | 0 1 | 40.39 189 | 50.53 158 176 Alabama A&M AA = 45.78 8 3 38.49( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.57 168 | 43.58 183 177 Montana State AA = 45.33 6 5 47.70( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.27 177 | 46.12 175 178 Southern University AA = 45.26 8 3 37.22( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.57 172 | 43.60 182 179 Hampton AA = 44.86 6 5 41.94( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.57 180 | 45.86 177 180 Brown AA = 44.71 5 5 43.91( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.92 187 | 47.87 167 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 181 Texas State AA = 44.60 4 7 49.40( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.96 175 | 43.97 181 182 Prairie View A&M AA = 44.57 7 3 37.03( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.35 173 | 42.37 191 183 Coastal Carolina AA = 44.51 5 6 48.10( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.00 178 | 44.76 180 184 Weber State AA = 43.96 5 6 49.84( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.38 182 | 45.22 179 185 Pennsylvania AA = 43.94 4 6 44.89( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.81 200 | 48.77 163 186 Western Carolina AA = 42.55 1 10 63.60( 98) 0 1 | 0 1 | 41.86 184 | 42.97 187 187 Jacksonville State AA = 42.22 6 5 40.02( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.61 188 | 43.50 184 188 Gardner-Webb AA = 41.96 5 6 46.55( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.71 181 | 40.88 197 189 Winston-Salem State AA = 41.51 6 5 39.07( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.48 185 | 41.26 196 190 Cornell AA = 41.50 5 5 42.36( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.54 193 | 43.09 186 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 191 Sacramento State AA = 41.07 3 8 51.58( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.55 192 | 42.27 192 192 Portland State AA = 40.92 3 8 49.80( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.57 196 | 42.84 188 193 Princeton AA = 40.88 4 6 45.44( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.90 194 | 42.49 190 194 Northwestern State AA = 40.86 4 7 52.90( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 42.02 183 | 39.34 198 195 Dartmouth AA = 40.39 3 7 48.25( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.86 205 | 43.23 185 196 SE Louisiana AA = 39.49 3 8 52.60( 151) 0 1 | 0 1 | 37.20 203 | 41.35 195 197 Tennessee-Martin AA = 38.86 4 7 40.59( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.73 211 | 42.78 189 198 Alabama State AA = 38.13 5 6 39.29( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.35 190 | 35.24 210 199 Davidson AA = 38.06 6 4 35.12( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.17 198 | 37.67 201 200 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 38.03 4 7 43.64( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.44 197 | 37.32 203 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 201 Tennessee State AA = 37.95 5 6 40.14( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.97 199 | 37.67 202 202 Morehead State AA = 37.77 7 4 35.38( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.59 191 | 35.40 208 203 Drake AA = 37.65 6 5 40.50( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.69 195 | 36.24 206 204 Southern Utah AA = 37.58 0 11 61.06( 115) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.72 215 | 41.87 194 205 Morgan State AA = 37.56 5 6 37.00( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.68 206 | 38.15 200 206 Presbyterian College AA = 36.98 6 5 43.23( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.18 204 | 36.49 205 207 Austin Peay AA = 36.55 7 4 35.56( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.50 202 | 35.24 211 208 Idaho State AA = 36.24 3 8 50.90( 159) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.05 207 | 37.12 204 209 Monmouth-NJ AA = 35.94 4 6 38.43( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.31 213 | 38.75 199 210 Charleston Southern AA = 35.33 5 6 47.00( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.52 201 | 32.41 216 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 211 Bethune-Cookman AA = 35.13 5 6 35.55( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.07 209 | 35.89 207 212 Central Connecticut AA = 33.66 6 5 38.39( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.00 208 | 31.86 219 213 Howard AA = 33.54 4 7 41.73( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.75 210 | 33.04 215 214 Bucknell AA = 33.50 3 8 44.04( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.16 212 | 33.58 213 215 Florida A&M AA = 32.99 3 8 40.20( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.25 214 | 33.45 214 216 Samford AA = 32.02 4 7 42.39( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.55 216 | 32.22 217 217 Tennessee Tech AA = 31.77 4 7 44.63( 186) 0 0 | 0 1 | 28.58 225 | 34.21 212 218 Iona AA = 30.97 7 4 30.39( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.33 219 | 31.33 221 219 Columbia AA = 30.95 1 9 44.39( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.33 231 | 35.28 209 220 Alcorn State AA = 30.92 2 8 40.95( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.67 222 | 31.85 220 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 221 Northern Colorado AA = 30.26 1 11 51.49( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.76 220 | 30.49 222 222 Wagner AA = 29.91 7 4 25.94( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.69 217 | 28.76 225 223 Robert Morris AA = 29.57 4 6 33.93( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.71 221 | 29.14 224 224 Duquesne AA = 29.54 6 4 27.11( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.37 223 | 29.45 223 225 Stephen F. Austin AA = 29.54 0 11 52.84( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.05 228 | 32.14 218 226 Miss. Valley State AA = 28.42 3 8 39.96( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.41 218 | 25.63 231 227 VMI AA = 27.58 2 9 47.25( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.38 226 | 26.41 227 228 NC Central AA = 27.03 6 4 34.70( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.49 227 | 26.24 228 229 Murray State AA = 26.42 2 9 44.57( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.19 232 | 28.13 226 230 Valparaiso AA = 26.30 5 6 36.07( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.60 224 | 22.98 232 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 231 SE Missouri State AA = 25.93 3 8 42.98( 195) 0 0 | 0 1 | 25.55 230 | 26.03 229 232 Georgetown AA = 25.92 1 10 45.42( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.76 229 | 25.82 230 233 Jacksonville AA = 22.64 3 8 36.57( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.16 233 | 20.46 235 234 St. Francis-Pa. AA = 21.92 3 7 32.19( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.80 234 | 19.16 237 235 Marist AA = 20.46 3 8 32.32( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 21.56 235 | 18.86 238 236 Texas Southern AA = 19.87 0 11 44.96( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 16.33 237 | 22.34 234 237 NC A&T AA = 19.59 0 11 40.37( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.34 240 | 22.87 233 238 Indiana State AA = 19.30 0 11 54.09( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.06 236 | 18.13 239 239 Sacred Heart AA = 18.27 3 8 28.31( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 16.19 238 | 19.80 236 240 Butler AA = 15.78 4 7 39.04( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.62 239 | 16.60 240 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 241 Savannah State AA = 8.98 1 9 34.24( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 11.75 241 | 3.61 241 242 La Salle AA = 0.89 0 10 26.04( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.09 242 | -7.87 242 243 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 19 74 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 243 | -90.00 243 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
There are two group ratings, the "central mean" and the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean")
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is in a sense the continuous version of the discrete "tri-mean".
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 81.99 81.83 ( 1) 12
2 PAC-10 (A) = 79.47 79.63 ( 2) 10
3 BIG 12 (A) = 78.62 78.35 ( 3) 12
4 BIG EAST (A) = 77.46 77.12 ( 4) 8
5 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 75.21 74.98 ( 5) 12
6 BIG TEN (A) = 74.63 74.17 ( 6) 11
7 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.95 70.84 ( 7) 9
8 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 61.74 61.79 ( 8) 4
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 61.29 61.72 ( 9) 9
10 SOUTHERN (AA)= 60.50 59.92 ( 11) 8
11 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 59.54 60.06 ( 10) 12
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 59.52 59.33 ( 12) 12
13 SUN BELT (A) = 59.19 59.25 ( 13) 8
14 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 58.37 58.51 ( 14) 13
15 GATEWAY (AA)= 56.05 54.35 ( 16) 7
16 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.99 54.75 ( 15) 5
17 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 45.91 44.39 ( 20) 7
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 45.46 45.48 ( 17) 8
19 BIG SKY (AA)= 44.85 45.37 ( 18) 9
20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 43.90 44.41 ( 19) 8
21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 41.03 41.10 ( 21) 5
22 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 40.04 39.01 ( 23) 10
23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.80 39.46 ( 22) 10
24 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 36.80 37.23 ( 24) 10
25 PIONEER (AA)= 35.38 35.17 ( 25) 8
26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 30.86 30.28 ( 27) 4
27 NORTHEAST (AA)= 30.85 31.36 ( 26) 7
28 METRO ATLANTIC (AA)= 21.98 20.47 ( 28) 4
29 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 29) 1
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS
5 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 75.21 74.98 ( 5) 12
4 BIG EAST (A) = 77.46 77.12 ( 4) 8
6 BIG TEN (A) = 74.63 74.17 ( 6) 11
3 BIG 12 (A) = 78.62 78.35 ( 3) 12
11 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 59.54 60.06 ( 10) 12
14 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 58.37 58.51 ( 14) 13
7 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.95 70.84 ( 7) 9
2 PAC-10 (A) = 79.47 79.63 ( 2) 10
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 81.99 81.83 ( 1) 12
13 SUN BELT (A) = 59.19 59.25 ( 13) 8
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 61.29 61.72 ( 9) 9
8 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 61.74 61.79 ( 8) 4
19 BIG SKY (AA)= 44.85 45.37 ( 18) 9
21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 41.03 41.10 ( 21) 5
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 59.52 59.33 ( 12) 12
15 GATEWAY (AA)= 56.05 54.35 ( 16) 7
16 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.99 54.75 ( 15) 5
20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 43.90 44.41 ( 19) 8
28 METRO ATLANTIC (AA)= 21.98 20.47 ( 28) 4
23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.80 39.46 ( 22) 10
27 NORTHEAST (AA)= 30.85 31.36 ( 26) 7
24 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 36.80 37.23 ( 24) 10
17 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 45.91 44.39 ( 20) 7
25 PIONEER (AA)= 35.38 35.17 ( 25) 8
10 SOUTHERN (AA)= 60.50 59.92 ( 11) 8
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 45.46 45.48 ( 17) 8
22 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 40.04 39.01 ( 23) 10
26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 30.86 30.28 ( 27) 4
29 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 29) 1
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 75.21 74.98 ( 5) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 9 Virginia Tech A = 87.84 11 3 73.90( 36) 0 2 | 2 3 | 87.67 7 | 87.75 11 22 Clemson A = 81.93 9 4 73.14( 41) 0 1 | 1 3 | 80.15 30 | 83.60 16 23 Boston College A = 81.61 11 3 72.87( 45) 1 1 | 3 1 | 83.74 18 | 79.57 30 28 Wake Forest A = 79.50 9 4 72.14( 49) 0 0 | 0 2 | 80.37 28 | 78.44 34 40 Florida State A = 77.01 7 6 75.36( 22) 0 2 | 1 5 | 77.02 40 | 76.75 42 41 Virginia A = 76.93 9 4 72.19( 48) 0 1 | 1 2 | 77.55 38 | 76.09 45 51 Maryland A = 74.75 6 7 74.85( 27) 0 1 | 1 4 | 73.77 54 | 75.48 47 59 Georgia Tech A = 73.07 7 6 70.00( 62) 0 2 | 1 3 | 72.51 61 | 73.37 57 68 NC State A = 69.69 5 7 74.33( 31) 0 0 | 0 3 | 71.66 63 | 67.62 74 69 North Carolina A = 69.61 4 8 74.11( 34) 0 1 | 0 3 | 68.15 77 | 70.86 65 75 Miami-Florida A = 68.18 5 7 71.87( 50) 0 2 | 0 3 | 68.77 75 | 67.34 79 109 Duke A = 59.70 1 11 74.54( 28) 0 1 | 0 3 | 58.47 118 | 60.66 105 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 BIG EAST (A) = 77.46 77.12 ( 4) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 3 West Virginia A = 92.29 11 2 73.61( 40) 1 0 | 2 1 | 89.40 5 | 95.80 1 19 Cincinnati A = 82.81 10 3 68.39( 69) 0 1 | 2 1 | 81.25 23 | 84.24 14 20 South Florida A = 82.45 9 4 75.60( 21) 1 1 | 2 2 | 80.85 24 | 83.91 15 38 Rutgers A = 77.24 8 5 69.16( 65) 0 1 | 1 2 | 74.31 48 | 80.37 28 39 Connecticut A = 77.05 9 4 70.19( 61) 0 1 | 1 3 | 77.44 39 | 76.42 43 45 Louisville A = 75.58 6 6 71.73( 51) 0 1 | 1 3 | 73.89 50 | 77.11 40 66 Pittsburgh A = 70.43 5 7 72.39( 46) 1 0 | 2 1 | 69.28 71 | 71.34 61 113 Syracuse A = 59.12 2 10 74.26( 32) 0 1 | 0 4 | 60.73 106 | 57.28 125 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 BIG TEN (A) = 74.63 74.17 ( 6) TEAMS= 11 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Ohio State A = 87.48 11 2 71.25( 53) 0 1 | 2 2 | 86.76 9 | 87.96 10 21 Michigan A = 82.27 9 4 73.89( 37) 1 1 | 3 2 | 83.46 19 | 80.97 24 26 Penn State A = 80.60 9 4 70.00( 63) 0 0 | 0 3 | 80.18 29 | 80.76 25 30 Illinois A = 79.27 9 4 73.12( 42) 0 2 | 2 3 | 80.57 26 | 77.85 38 36 Wisconsin A = 77.83 9 4 70.84( 57) 0 0 | 1 4 | 78.67 34 | 76.79 41 47 Michigan State A = 75.29 7 6 71.35( 52) 0 0 | 1 3 | 73.17 58 | 77.32 39 57 Purdue A = 73.76 8 5 67.80( 71) 0 0 | 0 3 | 73.09 59 | 74.18 54 72 Indiana A = 68.70 7 6 65.69( 82) 0 0 | 0 3 | 69.03 74 | 68.13 70 79 Iowa A = 67.70 6 6 67.61( 75) 0 0 | 1 1 | 67.52 79 | 67.60 75 86 Northwestern A = 65.30 6 6 67.92( 70) 0 0 | 0 3 | 67.07 80 | 63.35 90 123 Minnesota A = 57.72 1 11 71.12( 54) 0 0 | 0 3 | 54.51 134 | 60.68 104 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 BIG 12 (A) = 78.62 78.35 ( 3) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 2 Kansas A = 92.78 12 1 67.68( 74) 1 1 | 2 1 | 93.67 2 | 91.76 7 5 Oklahoma A = 90.66 11 3 73.10( 44) 2 1 | 4 2 | 87.53 8 | 94.55 2 6 Missouri A = 90.48 12 2 75.19( 25) 1 2 | 4 2 | 89.75 4 | 90.97 8 12 Texas A = 85.14 10 3 72.27( 47) 0 1 | 3 1 | 84.88 12 | 85.13 12 24 Texas Tech A = 81.46 9 4 68.51( 68) 1 1 | 1 3 | 80.52 27 | 82.17 20 27 Oklahoma State A = 79.56 7 6 75.76( 18) 0 3 | 1 4 | 78.32 37 | 80.59 26 42 Texas A&M A = 76.41 7 6 74.96( 26) 0 3 | 2 5 | 76.67 42 | 75.90 46 52 Kansas State A = 74.59 5 7 73.70( 38) 0 2 | 1 4 | 71.37 65 | 78.04 37 56 Colorado A = 73.81 6 7 75.86( 14) 1 2 | 2 3 | 73.32 57 | 74.04 55 61 Nebraska A = 72.69 5 7 77.45( 4) 0 3 | 1 5 | 73.40 56 | 71.77 60 92 Iowa State A = 63.88 3 9 75.62( 20) 0 3 | 0 5 | 64.28 93 | 63.22 92 117 Baylor A = 58.75 3 9 73.62( 39) 0 2 | 0 5 | 61.82 99 | 55.48 133 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 11 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 59.54 60.06 ( 10) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 46 Central Florida A = 75.46 10 4 65.20( 83) 0 0 | 0 2 | 75.30 43 | 75.37 48 64 East Carolina A = 71.37 8 5 67.31( 76) 0 2 | 0 2 | 71.49 64 | 71.00 62 65 Tulsa A = 70.69 10 4 63.46( 99) 0 1 | 1 1 | 72.01 62 | 69.21 68 84 Houston A = 65.76 8 5 60.04( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.98 94 | 67.32 80 88 Southern Miss A = 64.80 7 6 62.03( 109) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.81 100 | 67.69 73 124 Memphis A = 57.69 7 6 58.74( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.76 115 | 56.37 128 125 Marshall A = 57.60 3 9 67.71( 73) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.89 129 | 59.04 115 130 UTEP A = 55.94 4 8 60.40( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 52.81 138 | 58.78 118 141 Tulane A = 52.97 4 8 60.90( 117) 0 1 | 0 1 | 51.47 142 | 54.19 136 152 Rice A = 50.78 3 9 62.10( 108) 0 0 | 0 2 | 49.28 157 | 51.98 146 157 UAB A = 50.23 2 10 65.20( 84) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.83 160 | 51.35 150 169 SMU A = 47.44 1 11 63.04( 103) 0 0 | 0 1 | 41.32 186 | 52.50 143 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 14 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 58.37 58.51 ( 14) TEAMS= 13 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 82 Central Michigan A = 66.44 8 6 65.09( 86) 0 1 | 0 2 | 66.66 82 | 65.96 85 83 Ball State A = 65.90 7 6 64.55( 94) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.93 89 | 66.63 83 99 Bowling Green A = 62.27 8 5 61.85( 111) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.46 92 | 59.91 109 106 Western Michigan A = 60.23 5 7 63.40( 101) 0 2 | 0 2 | 58.64 117 | 61.57 99 114 Ohio University A = 59.11 6 6 58.94( 127) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.96 114 | 58.99 116 115 Buffalo A = 58.88 5 7 62.40( 107) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.51 112 | 57.99 123 116 Miami-Ohio A = 58.78 6 7 63.83( 97) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.16 104 | 56.17 129 126 Toledo A = 57.49 5 7 63.44( 100) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.69 116 | 56.02 130 127 Akron A = 56.67 4 8 64.05( 96) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.34 124 | 55.74 131 128 Eastern Michigan A = 56.25 4 8 62.87( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.82 126 | 55.41 134 135 Temple A = 54.31 4 8 61.81( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.66 130 | 52.67 142 139 Kent State A = 53.41 3 9 63.27( 102) 0 0 | 0 2 | 53.39 136 | 53.16 140 150 Northern Illinois A = 50.86 2 10 61.94( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.88 165 | 53.45 138 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.95 70.84 ( 7) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 17 BYU A = 83.18 11 2 70.66( 59) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.14 15 | 82.06 21 34 Utah A = 78.46 9 4 70.58( 60) 0 0 | 0 2 | 78.33 36 | 78.34 35 49 Air Force A = 74.94 9 4 67.79( 72) 0 0 | 0 2 | 74.59 44 | 75.02 51 50 TCU A = 74.78 8 5 68.58( 67) 0 0 | 0 2 | 74.11 49 | 75.19 49 58 New Mexico A = 73.48 9 4 65.17( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 73.85 51 | 72.87 59 85 Wyoming A = 65.40 5 7 69.66( 64) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.42 83 | 64.16 88 89 San Diego State A = 64.66 4 8 71.11( 55) 0 0 | 0 3 | 65.46 87 | 63.62 89 91 Colorado State A = 64.02 3 9 71.02( 56) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.75 101 | 66.10 84 120 UNLV A = 58.63 2 10 70.75( 58) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.11 125 | 59.90 110 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 PAC-10 (A) = 79.47 79.63 ( 2) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 4 Southern California A = 90.94 11 2 74.45( 29) 0 1 | 4 1 | 89.40 6 | 92.38 5 8 Oregon A = 88.19 9 4 77.40( 5) 1 0 | 4 2 | 84.54 13 | 92.98 3 14 Arizona State A = 84.35 10 3 75.73( 19) 0 2 | 2 3 | 83.98 17 | 84.47 13 16 Oregon State A = 83.18 9 4 75.80( 16) 1 1 | 2 3 | 84.22 14 | 82.00 22 29 California A = 79.33 7 6 76.90( 7) 1 1 | 2 3 | 78.84 32 | 79.56 31 33 UCLA A = 78.74 6 7 78.90( 1) 1 1 | 4 3 | 76.82 41 | 80.57 27 43 Arizona A = 76.40 5 7 77.22( 6) 1 1 | 1 5 | 74.49 46 | 78.20 36 55 Washington A = 73.81 4 9 78.44( 2) 0 2 | 1 5 | 71.28 66 | 76.34 44 63 Washington State A = 72.29 5 7 76.04( 12) 0 2 | 0 5 | 73.46 55 | 70.95 63 70 Stanford A = 69.05 4 8 76.29( 10) 1 1 | 2 3 | 69.72 70 | 68.16 69 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 81.99 81.83 ( 1) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 LSU A = 93.39 12 2 76.26( 11) 2 0 | 5 2 | 94.21 1 | 92.43 4 7 Georgia A = 89.83 11 2 75.35( 23) 1 0 | 4 1 | 90.96 3 | 88.61 9 10 Florida A = 87.59 9 4 77.47( 3) 0 2 | 2 4 | 83.99 16 | 92.23 6 13 Auburn A = 84.42 9 4 74.01( 35) 1 2 | 3 3 | 85.74 11 | 83.02 17 15 Tennessee A = 84.31 10 4 76.79( 9) 1 2 | 3 3 | 86.60 10 | 82.19 19 18 Kentucky A = 83.02 8 5 75.78( 17) 1 2 | 2 3 | 83.02 20 | 82.76 18 25 Arkansas A = 81.39 8 5 73.12( 43) 1 1 | 1 4 | 80.78 25 | 81.74 23 31 Alabama A = 79.26 7 6 74.37( 30) 0 2 | 2 3 | 79.10 31 | 79.14 33 32 South Carolina A = 79.23 6 6 76.88( 8) 1 2 | 2 5 | 78.70 33 | 79.51 32 37 Mississippi State A = 77.69 8 5 74.18( 33) 0 2 | 2 4 | 82.93 21 | 73.56 56 54 Vanderbilt A = 74.19 5 7 75.80( 15) 0 2 | 0 6 | 73.84 52 | 74.27 53 80 Mississippi A = 67.64 3 9 75.93( 13) 0 4 | 0 6 | 65.86 86 | 69.22 67 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 13 SUN BELT (A) = 59.19 59.25 ( 13) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 53 Troy A = 74.31 8 4 66.83( 78) 0 2 | 1 3 | 73.80 53 | 74.55 52 78 Florida Atlantic A = 67.78 8 5 66.21( 80) 0 1 | 0 4 | 70.72 68 | 64.86 86 95 Louisiana-Monroe A = 62.59 6 6 64.61( 93) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.76 90 | 60.25 107 101 Middle Tennessee A = 61.78 5 7 64.97( 90) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.75 105 | 62.55 94 119 Arkansas State A = 58.71 5 7 62.89( 104) 0 0 | 0 2 | 58.27 120 | 58.89 117 137 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 53.98 3 9 65.00( 88) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.26 135 | 53.43 139 168 North Texas A = 47.45 2 10 64.86( 91) 0 1 | 0 2 | 48.40 164 | 46.19 173 170 Fla. International A = 47.42 1 11 69.12( 66) 0 1 | 0 3 | 47.45 169 | 47.12 170 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 61.29 61.72 ( 9) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 35 Hawaii A = 78.10 12 1 58.47( 132) 0 1 | 0 1 | 81.43 22 | 75.17 50 48 Boise State A = 75.13 10 3 61.12( 113) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.11 67 | 79.76 29 60 Fresno State A = 72.71 9 4 64.32( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 74.42 47 | 70.90 64 102 Nevada A = 61.58 6 7 62.58( 106) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.50 107 | 62.40 95 111 Louisiana Tech A = 59.47 5 7 65.86( 81) 0 1 | 0 2 | 60.04 109 | 58.65 119 112 San Jose State A = 59.23 5 7 65.06( 87) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.28 108 | 57.94 124 142 Utah State A = 52.55 2 10 66.77( 79) 0 1 | 0 1 | 49.05 159 | 55.66 132 153 New Mexico State A = 50.73 4 9 61.04( 116) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.06 158 | 52.10 145 175 Idaho A = 45.97 1 11 64.78( 92) 0 1 | 0 1 | 40.39 189 | 50.53 158 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 61.74 61.79 ( 8) TEAMS= 4 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 74 Navy A = 68.40 8 5 64.99( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.04 73 | 67.52 77 90 Notre Dame A = 64.55 3 9 75.27( 24) 0 1 | 0 4 | 65.87 85 | 63.03 93 118 Western Kentucky A = 58.71 7 5 54.08( 145) 0 1 | 0 1 | 57.71 123 | 59.45 113 131 Army A = 55.51 3 9 67.21( 77) 0 0 | 0 2 | 56.36 127 | 54.40 135 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19 BIG SKY (AA)= 44.85 45.37 ( 18) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 104 Montana AA = 60.86 11 1 44.80( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.98 96 | 58.53 121 110 Eastern Washington AA = 59.67 9 4 52.16( 152) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.29 119 | 60.79 103 158 Northern Arizona AA = 50.03 6 5 51.56( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.77 161 | 51.02 154 177 Montana State AA = 45.33 6 5 47.70( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.27 177 | 46.12 175 184 Weber State AA = 43.96 5 6 49.84( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.38 182 | 45.22 179 191 Sacramento State AA = 41.07 3 8 51.58( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.55 192 | 42.27 192 192 Portland State AA = 40.92 3 8 49.80( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.57 196 | 42.84 188 208 Idaho State AA = 36.24 3 8 50.90( 159) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.05 207 | 37.12 204 221 Northern Colorado AA = 30.26 1 11 51.49( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.76 220 | 30.49 222 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 41.03 41.10 ( 21) TEAMS= 5 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 129 Liberty AA = 56.10 8 3 42.73( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.69 141 | 60.21 108 183 Coastal Carolina AA = 44.51 5 6 48.10( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.00 178 | 44.76 180 188 Gardner-Webb AA = 41.96 5 6 46.55( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.71 181 | 40.88 197 210 Charleston Southern AA = 35.33 5 6 47.00( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.52 201 | 32.41 216 227 VMI AA = 27.58 2 9 47.25( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.38 226 | 26.41 227 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12 COLONIAL (AA)= 59.52 59.33 ( 12) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 67 Richmond AA = 70.13 11 3 58.62( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.68 60 | 67.59 76 73 Delaware AA = 68.64 11 4 60.12( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.42 69 | 66.73 82 77 Massachusetts AA = 67.97 10 3 57.46( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.65 78 | 68.03 72 81 James Madison AA = 66.66 8 4 57.12( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.30 84 | 66.77 81 93 Villanova AA = 63.55 7 4 59.37( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.45 88 | 61.47 100 96 New Hampshire AA = 62.48 7 5 57.09( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.51 98 | 62.18 96 108 Hofstra AA = 59.94 7 4 54.77( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.86 110 | 59.76 111 140 William & Mary AA = 53.40 4 7 60.82( 118) 0 1 | 0 1 | 55.36 132 | 51.12 153 145 Northeastern AA = 51.75 3 8 59.51( 124) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.43 143 | 51.81 147 160 Rhode Island AA = 49.38 3 8 59.15( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.39 149 | 48.07 166 161 Maine AA = 49.29 4 7 56.45( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.22 144 | 46.97 171 163 Towson AA = 48.73 3 8 56.71( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.49 163 | 48.71 164 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 15 GATEWAY (AA)= 56.05 54.35 ( 16) TEAMS= 7 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 62 Northern Iowa AA = 72.33 12 1 53.39( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.54 45 | 70.10 66 76 Southern Illinois AA = 68.14 12 2 51.09( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.57 76 | 67.47 78 105 Youngstown State AA = 60.83 7 4 55.00( 141) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.47 113 | 61.94 98 122 Western Illinois AA = 57.83 6 5 56.25( 139) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.21 121 | 57.19 126 147 Illinois State AA = 51.03 4 7 54.72( 143) 0 1 | 0 1 | 48.74 162 | 53.00 141 149 Missouri State AA = 50.98 6 5 51.76( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.10 137 | 48.49 165 238 Indiana State AA = 19.30 0 11 54.09( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.06 236 | 18.13 239 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 16 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.99 54.75 ( 15) TEAMS= 5 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 71 North Dakota State AA = 68.80 10 1 50.03( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.25 72 | 68.11 71 98 South Dakota State AA = 62.30 7 4 53.20( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.60 111 | 64.82 87 138 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 53.74 7 4 45.72( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.22 170 | 59.66 112 146 UC Davis AA = 51.35 5 6 52.89( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.30 152 | 52.13 144 204 Southern Utah AA = 37.58 0 11 61.06( 115) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.72 215 | 41.87 194 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 43.90 44.41 ( 19) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 121 Yale AA = 58.15 9 1 42.48( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.53 131 | 60.52 106 132 Harvard AA = 54.77 8 2 45.04( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.65 139 | 56.62 127 180 Brown AA = 44.71 5 5 43.91( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.92 187 | 47.87 167 185 Pennsylvania AA = 43.94 4 6 44.89( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.81 200 | 48.77 163 190 Cornell AA = 41.50 5 5 42.36( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.54 193 | 43.09 186 193 Princeton AA = 40.88 4 6 45.44( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.90 194 | 42.49 190 195 Dartmouth AA = 40.39 3 7 48.25( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.86 205 | 43.23 185 219 Columbia AA = 30.95 1 9 44.39( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.33 231 | 35.28 209 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 28 METRO ATLANTIC (AA)= 21.98 20.47 ( 28) TEAMS= 4 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 218 Iona AA = 30.97 7 4 30.39( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.33 219 | 31.33 221 224 Duquesne AA = 29.54 6 4 27.11( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.37 223 | 29.45 223 235 Marist AA = 20.46 3 8 32.32( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 21.56 235 | 18.86 238 242 La Salle AA = 0.89 0 10 26.04( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.09 242 | -7.87 242 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.80 39.46 ( 22) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 143 Delaware State AA = 52.43 10 2 42.82( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.99 122 | 46.12 176 151 SC State AA = 50.81 7 4 45.74( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.37 150 | 50.98 156 174 Norfolk State AA = 46.19 8 3 42.57( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.45 153 | 42.22 193 179 Hampton AA = 44.86 6 5 41.94( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.57 180 | 45.86 177 189 Winston-Salem State AA = 41.51 6 5 39.07( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.48 185 | 41.26 196 205 Morgan State AA = 37.56 5 6 37.00( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.68 206 | 38.15 200 211 Bethune-Cookman AA = 35.13 5 6 35.55( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.07 209 | 35.89 207 213 Howard AA = 33.54 4 7 41.73( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.75 210 | 33.04 215 215 Florida A&M AA = 32.99 3 8 40.20( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.25 214 | 33.45 214 237 NC A&T AA = 19.59 0 11 40.37( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.34 240 | 22.87 233 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 27 NORTHEAST (AA)= 30.85 31.36 ( 26) TEAMS= 7 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 156 Albany-NY AA = 50.24 8 4 42.03( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.76 147 | 49.43 161 209 Monmouth-NJ AA = 35.94 4 6 38.43( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.31 213 | 38.75 199 212 Central Connecticut AA = 33.66 6 5 38.39( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.00 208 | 31.86 219 222 Wagner AA = 29.91 7 4 25.94( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.69 217 | 28.76 225 223 Robert Morris AA = 29.57 4 6 33.93( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.71 221 | 29.14 224 234 St. Francis-Pa. AA = 21.92 3 7 32.19( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.80 234 | 19.16 237 239 Sacred Heart AA = 18.27 3 8 28.31( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 16.19 238 | 19.80 236 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 24 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 36.80 37.23 ( 24) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 136 Eastern Kentucky AA = 54.07 9 3 44.91( 182) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.31 128 | 51.51 148 173 Eastern Illinois AA = 46.54 8 4 42.22( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.10 171 | 45.69 178 187 Jacksonville State AA = 42.22 6 5 40.02( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.61 188 | 43.50 184 197 Tennessee-Martin AA = 38.86 4 7 40.59( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.73 211 | 42.78 189 201 Tennessee State AA = 37.95 5 6 40.14( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.97 199 | 37.67 202 207 Austin Peay AA = 36.55 7 4 35.56( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.50 202 | 35.24 211 216 Samford AA = 32.02 4 7 42.39( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.55 216 | 32.22 217 217 Tennessee Tech AA = 31.77 4 7 44.63( 186) 0 0 | 0 1 | 28.58 225 | 34.21 212 229 Murray State AA = 26.42 2 9 44.57( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.19 232 | 28.13 226 231 SE Missouri State AA = 25.93 3 8 42.98( 195) 0 0 | 0 1 | 25.55 230 | 26.03 229 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 17 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 45.91 44.39 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 133 Holy Cross AA = 54.72 7 4 47.22( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.44 148 | 58.63 120 148 Fordham AA = 51.03 8 4 44.43( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.80 146 | 50.99 155 155 Colgate AA = 50.41 7 4 46.05( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.35 155 | 51.20 152 167 Lafayette AA = 48.11 7 4 41.01( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.94 176 | 50.82 157 171 Lehigh AA = 47.05 5 6 46.00( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.67 179 | 49.93 160 214 Bucknell AA = 33.50 3 8 44.04( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.16 212 | 33.58 213 232 Georgetown AA = 25.92 1 10 45.42( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.76 229 | 25.82 230 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 25 PIONEER (AA)= 35.38 35.17 ( 25) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 134 Dayton AA = 54.44 11 1 35.77( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.00 133 | 53.60 137 164 San Diego AA = 48.72 9 2 33.47( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.82 166 | 49.34 162 199 Davidson AA = 38.06 6 4 35.12( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.17 198 | 37.67 201 202 Morehead State AA = 37.77 7 4 35.38( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.59 191 | 35.40 208 203 Drake AA = 37.65 6 5 40.50( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.69 195 | 36.24 206 230 Valparaiso AA = 26.30 5 6 36.07( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.60 224 | 22.98 232 233 Jacksonville AA = 22.64 3 8 36.57( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.16 233 | 20.46 235 240 Butler AA = 15.78 4 7 39.04( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.62 239 | 16.60 240 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 10 SOUTHERN (AA)= 60.50 59.92 ( 11) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 44 Appalachian State AA = 75.73 13 2 59.66( 123) 0 0 | 1 0 | 78.50 35 | 73.13 58 87 Wofford AA = 65.24 9 4 57.68( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.05 81 | 63.26 91 94 Elon AA = 62.81 7 4 60.33( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.50 91 | 60.91 102 97 Georgia Southern AA = 62.35 7 4 58.79( 128) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.05 95 | 61.41 101 103 Citadel AA = 60.94 7 4 55.92( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.53 97 | 59.13 114 107 Furman AA = 60.11 6 5 58.66( 130) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.50 102 | 58.49 122 159 Chattanooga AA = 49.66 2 9 61.08( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.73 167 | 51.26 151 186 Western Carolina AA = 42.55 1 10 63.60( 98) 0 1 | 0 1 | 41.86 184 | 42.97 187 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 45.46 45.48 ( 17) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 100 McNeese State AA = 61.81 11 1 44.69( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.22 103 | 62.14 97 144 Sam Houston State AA = 51.77 7 4 52.02( 153) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.83 140 | 51.44 149 162 Central Arkansas AA = 48.76 6 5 48.12( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.45 154 | 47.78 169 172 Nicholls State AA = 47.01 6 5 48.55( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.92 174 | 47.82 168 181 Texas State AA = 44.60 4 7 49.40( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.96 175 | 43.97 181 194 Northwestern State AA = 40.86 4 7 52.90( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 42.02 183 | 39.34 198 196 SE Louisiana AA = 39.49 3 8 52.60( 151) 0 1 | 0 1 | 37.20 203 | 41.35 195 225 Stephen F. Austin AA = 29.54 0 11 52.84( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.05 228 | 32.14 218 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 22 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 40.04 39.01 ( 23) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2007 through games of 2008 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.58 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 154 Grambling AA = 50.46 8 4 43.99( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.37 151 | 50.28 159 165 Jackson State AA = 48.70 8 4 38.84( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.81 145 | 46.18 174 176 Alabama A&M AA = 45.78 8 3 38.49( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.57 168 | 43.58 183 178 Southern University AA = 45.26 8 3 37.22( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.57 172 | 43.60 182 182 Prairie View A&M AA = 44.57 7 3 37.03( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.35 173 | 42.37 191 198 Alabama State AA = 38.13 5 6 39.29( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.35 190 | 35.24 210 200 Ark.-Pine Bluff