United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2008 through results of 2009 JANUARY 8 THURSDAY (Final Ratings)
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is UNBIASED now.
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(3) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced
by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule
difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the
opponent and the location of the game.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 245 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the ELO-CHESS is then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is now UNBIASED.
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In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Florida A = 98.74 13 1 76.87( 4) 2 1 | 5 1 | 95.76 2 | 102.62 1 2 Southern California A = 94.85 12 1 75.23( 16) 1 0 | 5 1 | 90.60 5 | 102.16 2 3 Oklahoma A = 94.15 12 2 76.38( 7) 2 2 | 5 2 | 91.12 4 | 97.91 3 4 Texas A = 93.50 12 1 75.47( 14) 1 1 | 4 1 | 91.62 3 | 95.25 4 5 Utah A = 91.37 13 0 70.85( 56) 2 0 | 3 0 | 96.73 1 | 87.75 10 6 Alabama A = 89.48 12 2 73.83( 28) 1 2 | 4 2 | 89.52 6 | 89.00 6 7 TCU A = 89.09 11 2 69.77( 69) 0 2 | 1 2 | 88.75 7 | 88.98 7 8 Penn State A = 88.26 11 2 71.19( 55) 0 1 | 2 2 | 84.07 13 | 94.30 5 9 Texas Tech A = 86.75 11 2 73.83( 27) 1 2 | 3 2 | 85.93 9 | 87.15 12 10 Mississippi A = 86.28 9 4 74.65( 20) 2 1 | 3 2 | 84.88 10 | 87.34 11 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Oregon A = 85.47 10 3 74.15( 22) 0 1 | 3 3 | 84.72 11 | 85.78 14 12 Boise State A = 85.13 12 1 64.86( 94) 0 1 | 1 1 | 83.76 15 | 86.13 13 13 Oregon State A = 85.11 9 4 76.34( 8) 1 2 | 4 3 | 84.25 12 | 85.54 15 14 Ohio State A = 84.83 10 3 72.24( 46) 0 3 | 0 3 | 82.00 17 | 87.87 9 15 Georgia A = 84.81 10 3 75.98( 11) 0 2 | 1 2 | 85.98 8 | 83.36 21 16 California A = 83.58 9 4 74.07( 24) 0 1 | 1 3 | 81.90 18 | 84.96 16 17 Florida State A = 83.18 9 4 71.96( 48) 0 1 | 2 3 | 82.17 16 | 83.78 19 18 Virginia Tech A = 82.93 10 4 73.89( 26) 0 0 | 3 2 | 84.01 14 | 81.54 23 19 Missouri A = 82.80 10 4 72.33( 45) 0 2 | 1 3 | 80.74 22 | 84.65 17 20 Oklahoma State A = 82.16 9 4 72.65( 43) 0 3 | 1 4 | 80.41 24 | 83.61 20 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 21 LSU A = 81.96 8 5 73.34( 33) 0 3 | 0 4 | 81.15 20 | 82.34 22 22 Iowa A = 81.79 9 4 70.08( 63) 1 0 | 1 1 | 77.10 37 | 88.20 8 23 Nebraska A = 80.70 9 4 72.89( 38) 0 2 | 1 4 | 80.81 21 | 80.16 25 24 Arizona A = 80.50 8 5 70.63( 57) 0 1 | 1 3 | 77.21 35 | 84.11 18 25 Wake Forest A = 79.43 8 5 76.16( 9) 1 0 | 3 1 | 79.56 26 | 78.86 29 26 West Virginia A = 79.27 9 4 72.09( 47) 0 0 | 1 1 | 79.94 25 | 78.21 32 27 Pittsburgh A = 79.03 9 4 74.00( 25) 0 0 | 2 1 | 79.09 27 | 78.53 31 28 Boston College A = 78.94 9 5 73.02( 35) 0 0 | 3 3 | 78.60 28 | 78.82 30 29 North Carolina A = 78.88 8 5 74.32( 21) 0 0 | 1 2 | 78.22 33 | 79.08 27 30 Clemson A = 78.87 7 6 73.83( 29) 0 1 | 1 4 | 76.73 41 | 80.78 24 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 31 Kansas A = 78.80 8 5 72.81( 39) 0 3 | 1 4 | 78.24 32 | 78.91 28 32 BYU A = 78.66 10 3 69.05( 74) 0 2 | 0 3 | 77.55 34 | 79.36 26 33 Michigan State A = 78.17 9 4 72.73( 41) 0 1 | 1 4 | 78.37 31 | 77.54 34 34 Cincinnati A = 77.89 11 3 70.33( 60) 0 1 | 2 2 | 81.32 19 | 74.73 43 35 Miami-Florida A = 77.42 7 6 75.38( 15) 0 1 | 2 4 | 77.21 36 | 77.18 35 36 Georgia Tech A = 77.13 9 4 72.79( 40) 0 0 | 4 3 | 80.49 23 | 74.00 46 37 Rutgers A = 77.11 8 5 69.09( 73) 0 0 | 1 2 | 76.88 38 | 76.89 36 38 South Carolina A = 77.06 7 6 77.13( 3) 1 1 | 1 5 | 76.82 40 | 76.84 37 39 Vanderbilt A = 76.47 7 6 75.70( 13) 1 1 | 2 3 | 78.44 29 | 74.32 45 40 Connecticut A = 76.40 8 5 71.27( 53) 0 0 | 0 3 | 76.34 43 | 76.01 38 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 41 Richmond AA = 76.23 13 3 60.52( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.06 45 | 75.96 39 42 Tulsa A = 75.98 11 3 63.55( 109) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.83 52 | 77.88 33 43 South Florida A = 75.67 8 5 69.41( 71) 0 0 | 0 2 | 75.17 47 | 75.70 40 44 Northwestern A = 75.18 9 4 69.50( 70) 0 0 | 1 2 | 74.34 50 | 75.59 41 45 James Madison AA = 74.98 12 2 61.70( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.57 42 | 73.13 52 46 Maryland A = 74.83 8 5 73.01( 36) 0 0 | 4 3 | 78.44 30 | 71.45 65 47 Virginia A = 74.77 5 7 78.13( 2) 0 1 | 1 4 | 76.09 44 | 73.14 51 48 Rice A = 74.76 10 3 66.05( 88) 0 1 | 0 1 | 76.83 39 | 72.50 57 49 Kentucky A = 74.41 7 6 70.48( 59) 0 2 | 0 3 | 75.81 46 | 72.70 54 50 Stanford A = 74.01 5 7 75.87( 12) 0 2 | 2 4 | 72.45 60 | 75.20 42 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 51 Navy A = 73.87 8 5 68.19( 80) 0 0 | 1 2 | 72.71 57 | 74.61 44 52 Houston A = 73.79 8 5 65.84( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 73.26 54 | 73.86 47 53 Notre Dame A = 73.75 7 6 71.61( 50) 0 1 | 0 4 | 73.35 53 | 73.69 48 54 East Carolina A = 73.44 9 5 69.80( 67) 0 0 | 2 0 | 74.86 48 | 71.71 61 55 NC State A = 73.34 6 7 76.05( 10) 0 0 | 2 3 | 74.52 49 | 71.82 60 56 Air Force A = 72.95 8 5 68.95( 75) 0 2 | 0 2 | 72.45 61 | 72.99 53 57 Duke A = 72.35 4 8 76.50( 6) 0 0 | 0 4 | 72.68 59 | 71.59 63 58 Tennessee A = 71.95 5 7 73.40( 31) 0 2 | 0 3 | 70.83 65 | 72.64 56 59 Arizona State A = 71.84 5 7 73.38( 32) 0 1 | 0 6 | 69.84 67 | 73.51 49 60 Auburn A = 71.69 5 7 72.99( 37) 0 2 | 0 5 | 71.83 63 | 71.10 66 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 61 Wisconsin A = 71.53 7 6 71.34( 52) 0 1 | 0 4 | 71.00 64 | 71.60 62 62 Montana AA = 71.52 14 2 55.94( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.90 56 | 69.80 69 63 Villanova AA = 71.24 10 3 61.20( 122) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.68 58 | 69.47 71 64 Arkansas A = 71.22 5 7 76.61( 5) 0 4 | 1 4 | 74.31 51 | 68.11 74 65 Ball State A = 71.12 12 2 60.67( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.27 66 | 71.53 64 66 Baylor A = 71.06 4 8 75.01( 17) 0 3 | 0 7 | 68.52 75 | 73.36 50 67 Southern Miss A = 70.57 7 6 66.62( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.79 72 | 71.98 59 68 Illinois A = 70.07 5 7 70.30( 61) 0 1 | 1 3 | 67.45 82 | 72.46 58 69 Appalachian State AA = 70.00 11 3 57.45( 140) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.28 70 | 70.26 67 70 Troy A = 69.84 8 5 62.27( 117) 0 0 | 0 3 | 66.84 85 | 72.69 55 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 71 Nevada A = 69.74 7 6 66.60( 86) 0 1 | 0 3 | 69.53 69 | 69.49 70 72 Colorado A = 69.36 5 7 74.83( 19) 0 1 | 1 5 | 72.45 62 | 66.20 81 73 Colorado State A = 68.74 7 6 70.58( 58) 0 2 | 0 3 | 73.19 55 | 64.52 91 74 Kansas State A = 68.69 5 7 70.18( 62) 0 2 | 0 4 | 67.95 81 | 68.99 72 75 Minnesota A = 68.46 7 6 68.68( 79) 0 0 | 0 2 | 68.42 76 | 68.05 75 76 Buffalo A = 68.26 8 6 65.66( 92) 0 0 | 0 2 | 68.19 78 | 67.88 76 77 Wofford AA = 67.95 9 3 56.57( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.33 83 | 68.12 73 78 Purdue A = 67.89 4 8 71.73( 49) 0 1 | 0 4 | 65.48 95 | 69.98 68 79 Western Michigan A = 67.49 9 4 62.39( 116) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.66 68 | 65.04 88 80 UCLA A = 66.91 4 8 74.95( 18) 0 1 | 0 5 | 68.26 77 | 65.18 86 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 81 New Hampshire AA = 66.76 10 3 56.43( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.98 90 | 67.09 78 82 William & Mary AA = 66.66 7 4 58.00( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.00 89 | 66.86 79 83 Northern Iowa AA = 66.34 12 3 52.84( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.86 93 | 66.35 80 84 New Mexico A = 66.29 4 8 71.25( 54) 0 2 | 1 2 | 65.93 91 | 66.19 82 85 Weber State AA = 66.28 10 4 60.25( 127) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.08 84 | 65.06 87 86 Fresno State A = 65.70 7 6 65.93( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.01 80 | 63.10 94 87 Louisiana Tech A = 65.44 8 5 63.13( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.84 71 | 61.91 100 88 Bowling Green A = 65.29 6 6 63.83( 106) 0 0 | 1 1 | 62.60 102 | 67.66 77 89 Texas A&M A = 65.14 4 8 73.64( 30) 0 3 | 0 4 | 66.03 88 | 63.84 92 90 UTEP A = 65.11 5 7 67.96( 82) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.22 97 | 64.54 90 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 91 Hawaii A = 65.04 7 7 68.86( 76) 0 1 | 0 3 | 68.19 79 | 61.69 101 92 Louisville A = 64.95 5 7 68.17( 81) 0 0 | 0 2 | 68.78 74 | 61.02 105 93 Mississippi State A = 64.91 4 8 72.73( 42) 0 2 | 0 3 | 68.79 73 | 60.95 106 94 UNLV A = 64.84 5 7 69.82( 66) 0 2 | 0 2 | 66.40 86 | 62.91 95 95 Michigan A = 64.28 3 9 72.61( 44) 0 2 | 0 3 | 62.36 105 | 65.79 83 96 Central Michigan A = 64.03 8 5 63.27( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.35 96 | 62.30 97 97 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 63.82 8 3 52.15( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.88 109 | 65.35 85 98 Temple A = 63.78 5 7 65.26( 93) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.53 111 | 65.64 84 99 Memphis A = 63.60 6 7 64.79( 97) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.05 99 | 62.71 96 100 Northern Illinois A = 63.35 6 7 61.03( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.32 113 | 64.96 89 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 101 Marshall A = 62.85 4 8 68.80( 77) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.85 98 | 60.49 110 102 Florida Atlantic A = 62.82 7 6 64.85( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 66.31 87 | 59.09 116 103 Massachusetts AA = 62.72 7 5 59.94( 128) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.47 112 | 63.52 93 104 Syracuse A = 62.60 3 9 73.15( 34) 0 1 | 0 3 | 65.85 94 | 59.07 117 105 San Jose State A = 62.51 6 6 64.49( 98) 0 0 | 0 2 | 65.90 92 | 58.86 119 106 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 62.26 6 6 63.00( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.15 101 | 60.94 107 107 Arkansas State A = 62.26 6 6 60.92( 124) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.17 100 | 60.92 108 108 Akron A = 61.94 5 7 63.97( 103) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.19 114 | 62.24 98 109 Maine AA = 61.45 8 5 57.72( 139) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.56 103 | 59.92 113 110 Central Florida A = 61.39 4 8 67.66( 84) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.37 104 | 59.99 112 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 111 Elon AA = 60.92 8 4 55.61( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.71 116 | 60.67 109 112 Middle Tennessee A = 60.77 5 7 63.00( 113) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.02 108 | 59.10 115 113 Fla. International A = 60.73 5 7 63.86( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.89 115 | 60.12 111 114 Iowa State A = 60.47 2 10 71.45( 51) 0 0 | 0 4 | 58.54 121 | 61.96 99 115 Utah State A = 60.40 3 9 69.80( 68) 0 1 | 0 3 | 61.78 110 | 58.59 121 116 UAB A = 60.11 4 8 64.79( 96) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.07 107 | 57.74 125 117 Harvard AA = 60.05 9 1 48.72( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.31 125 | 61.35 103 118 Southern Illinois AA = 58.78 9 3 50.41( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.23 126 | 58.87 118 119 Samford AA = 58.76 6 5 59.82( 130) 0 1 | 0 1 | 55.91 134 | 61.16 104 120 Ohio University A = 58.74 4 8 63.94( 104) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.78 130 | 59.26 114 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 121 Eastern Washington AA = 58.46 6 5 59.00( 132) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.43 123 | 58.04 123 122 Wyoming A = 58.14 4 8 69.31( 72) 0 2 | 0 2 | 62.23 106 | 53.60 146 123 Liberty AA = 58.06 10 2 47.30( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.06 143 | 61.62 102 124 Furman AA = 58.01 7 5 58.72( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.01 119 | 56.55 132 125 Indiana A = 57.94 3 9 67.82( 83) 0 1 | 0 2 | 59.15 118 | 56.29 133 126 Georgia Southern AA = 57.38 6 5 56.03( 145) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.20 133 | 58.10 122 127 Central Arkansas AA = 57.24 10 2 48.62( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.50 122 | 55.51 137 128 Army A = 56.81 3 9 66.27( 87) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.60 120 | 54.56 143 129 Washington A = 56.68 0 12 78.21( 1) 0 2 | 0 6 | 55.86 135 | 57.05 129 130 Kent State A = 56.66 4 8 61.95( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.21 132 | 56.66 131 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 131 Albany-NY AA = 55.98 9 3 45.13( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.42 139 | 56.09 134 132 Delaware AA = 55.92 4 8 63.79( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.52 138 | 55.87 135 133 Holy Cross AA = 55.86 7 4 49.73( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.42 149 | 58.79 120 134 Toledo A = 55.65 3 9 64.15( 100) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.24 131 | 54.60 142 135 Louisiana-Monroe A = 55.62 4 8 61.93( 120) 0 1 | 0 1 | 57.85 128 | 52.88 147 136 San Diego State A = 55.43 2 10 69.97( 65) 0 2 | 0 2 | 58.34 124 | 51.98 152 137 South Dakota State AA = 55.41 7 5 50.88( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.61 147 | 57.71 126 138 Washington State A = 54.91 2 11 74.08( 23) 0 1 | 0 6 | 59.43 117 | 49.70 161 139 Brown AA = 54.86 7 3 48.06( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.43 148 | 56.79 130 140 SC State AA = 54.59 10 3 44.34( 203) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.71 145 | 55.01 138 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 141 McNeese State AA = 54.44 7 4 53.77( 155) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.79 144 | 54.62 141 142 Lafayette AA = 54.42 7 4 48.07( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.58 156 | 57.67 127 143 Montana State AA = 54.34 7 5 56.29( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.82 129 | 50.24 159 144 Colgate AA = 54.24 9 3 50.01( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.79 136 | 52.20 151 145 Northern Arizona AA = 54.14 6 5 55.69( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.99 141 | 52.82 148 146 New Mexico State A = 54.13 3 9 63.14( 111) 0 0 | 0 2 | 58.02 127 | 49.56 163 147 Eastern Michigan A = 54.06 3 9 62.86( 115) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.21 140 | 52.43 150 148 Tulane A = 53.78 2 10 68.69( 78) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.55 137 | 51.50 153 149 SMU A = 53.66 1 11 70.05( 64) 0 2 | 0 2 | 52.95 146 | 53.91 145 150 North Dakota State AA = 53.60 6 5 47.78( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.50 163 | 57.96 124 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 151 Pennsylvania AA = 53.36 6 4 49.15( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.56 157 | 55.63 136 152 Yale AA = 53.20 6 4 46.75( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.15 166 | 57.50 128 153 Western Illinois AA = 52.34 6 5 50.62( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.13 160 | 54.96 140 154 Texas State AA = 51.96 8 5 48.57( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.97 151 | 51.49 154 155 Hofstra AA = 51.94 4 8 59.90( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.01 150 | 51.41 155 156 Citadel AA = 51.84 4 8 62.07( 118) 0 1 | 0 2 | 48.83 161 | 54.27 144 157 Miami-Ohio A = 51.34 2 10 64.11( 101) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.66 154 | 50.56 158 158 Sacramento State AA = 51.00 6 6 55.87( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.89 153 | 49.61 162 159 Jacksonville State AA = 50.90 8 3 43.14( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.71 162 | 52.57 149 160 Lehigh AA = 50.82 5 6 49.33( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.75 176 | 54.97 139 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 161 Western Kentucky A = 50.54 2 10 64.08( 102) 0 1 | 0 2 | 49.51 159 | 51.10 157 162 Idaho A = 49.50 2 10 64.32( 99) 0 0 | 0 2 | 54.23 142 | 43.52 196 163 Northwestern State AA = 48.91 7 5 53.09( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.89 152 | 45.13 188 164 Eastern Kentucky AA = 48.78 8 4 47.26( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.73 158 | 47.33 172 165 Grambling AA = 48.76 11 2 33.62( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.47 178 | 51.37 156 166 UC Davis AA = 48.62 5 7 50.42( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.80 174 | 49.92 160 167 Tennessee-Martin AA = 48.52 8 4 48.12( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.61 169 | 48.97 165 168 Northeastern AA = 48.31 2 10 59.76( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.10 173 | 49.04 164 169 Charleston Southern AA = 47.81 7 5 50.78( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.90 167 | 47.27 173 170 Sam Houston State AA = 47.65 4 6 52.68( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.24 175 | 48.57 167 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 171 North Texas A = 47.61 1 11 65.96( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.21 155 | 42.98 200 172 Portland State AA = 47.15 4 7 54.87( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.40 164 | 45.36 186 173 Stony Brook AA = 47.01 5 6 49.56( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.85 168 | 45.67 184 174 Southern Utah AA = 46.87 4 7 56.94( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.40 171 | 45.85 183 175 Monmouth-NJ AA = 46.65 7 4 41.73( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.75 177 | 47.08 174 176 South Dakota AA = 46.63 6 5 55.40( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.05 184 | 48.60 166 177 Coastal Carolina AA = 46.52 6 6 47.35( 192) 0 1 | 0 1 | 44.80 180 | 47.73 169 178 Nicholls State AA = 46.46 3 6 53.59( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.33 165 | 43.95 194 179 Rhode Island AA = 46.38 3 9 58.35( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.51 170 | 44.70 192 180 Princeton AA = 46.16 4 6 49.69( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.84 179 | 47.00 176 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 181 SE Louisiana AA = 45.92 5 7 49.94( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.31 172 | 43.95 195 182 Fordham AA = 45.60 5 6 45.88( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.99 192 | 47.57 170 183 San Diego AA = 45.40 9 2 34.09( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.21 190 | 47.00 175 184 Tennessee State AA = 45.33 8 4 39.75( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.54 189 | 46.59 178 185 VMI AA = 45.16 4 7 50.41( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.32 198 | 48.11 168 186 Towson AA = 45.06 3 9 58.88( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.62 181 | 45.04 189 187 Central Connecticut AA = 45.04 7 4 38.77( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.51 193 | 46.94 177 188 Florida A&M AA = 45.03 9 3 35.68( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.95 194 | 47.38 171 189 Jacksonville AA = 44.85 9 4 38.17( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.41 183 | 44.84 191 190 Western Carolina AA = 44.85 3 9 58.72( 135) 0 0 | 0 1 | 43.94 185 | 45.30 187 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 191 North Dakota AA = 44.68 6 4 49.61( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.87 188 | 45.02 190 192 Dayton AA = 44.22 9 3 34.77( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.39 197 | 46.35 179 193 Gardner-Webb AA = 44.17 5 6 48.12( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.61 196 | 46.08 180 194 Northern Colorado AA = 43.87 1 10 55.85( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.01 199 | 46.03 181 195 Cornell AA = 43.78 4 6 48.88( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.92 186 | 43.17 198 196 Missouri State AA = 43.72 4 7 52.30( 161) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.52 182 | 42.41 202 197 Stephen F. Austin AA = 43.63 4 8 54.94( 152) 0 1 | 0 1 | 43.89 187 | 42.90 201 198 Youngstown State AA = 43.52 4 8 53.87( 154) 0 0 | 0 1 | 43.10 191 | 43.48 197 199 Illinois State AA = 43.31 3 8 49.62( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.73 203 | 46.02 182 200 Eastern Illinois AA = 42.69 5 7 45.31( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.22 202 | 44.52 193 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 201 Prairie View A&M AA = 42.25 9 1 28.07( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.96 208 | 45.43 185 202 Bucknell AA = 41.36 5 6 44.91( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.91 195 | 40.31 206 203 Bethune-Cookman AA = 41.16 8 3 33.01( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.43 204 | 42.34 203 204 Columbia AA = 40.72 2 8 49.05( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.65 209 | 42.98 199 205 Sacred Heart AA = 40.37 8 3 36.45( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.89 200 | 39.34 211 206 Idaho State AA = 40.35 1 11 57.93( 138) 0 0 | 0 1 | 40.77 201 | 39.45 210 207 Morgan State AA = 39.02 6 6 40.25( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.50 213 | 40.83 205 208 Bryant AA = 38.65 7 4 37.78( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.09 210 | 39.68 209 209 Presbyterian College AA = 38.64 4 8 52.06( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.00 207 | 38.83 213 210 Hampton AA = 38.60 6 5 37.90( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.96 211 | 39.70 208 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 211 Chattanooga AA = 38.58 1 11 63.69( 108) 0 1 | 0 2 | 38.63 206 | 38.07 214 212 Robert Morris AA = 38.31 5 6 38.87( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.88 212 | 39.22 212 213 Southern University AA = 38.09 6 5 35.91( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.32 224 | 41.45 204 214 Murray State AA = 37.26 5 7 44.94( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.31 205 | 34.32 222 215 Norfolk State AA = 37.19 5 7 43.31( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.99 225 | 40.16 207 216 Delaware State AA = 36.56 5 6 38.84( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.29 215 | 37.31 215 217 SE Missouri State AA = 35.68 4 8 45.20( 199) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.50 214 | 35.39 217 218 Duquesne AA = 35.55 3 7 39.88( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.48 220 | 36.99 216 219 Austin Peay AA = 34.93 2 9 45.45( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.02 217 | 35.36 218 220 Butler AA = 34.80 6 5 34.38( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.99 219 | 35.14 219 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 221 Drake AA = 34.22 6 5 36.56( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.99 218 | 34.00 225 222 Morehead State AA = 34.14 6 6 35.06( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.43 223 | 34.38 220 223 Dartmouth AA = 34.06 0 10 52.90( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.44 222 | 34.21 224 224 Tennessee Tech AA = 33.05 3 9 47.57( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.86 216 | 30.35 229 225 Georgetown AA = 33.05 2 8 48.65( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.47 221 | 32.14 227 226 Marist AA = 33.03 4 7 36.31( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.24 227 | 34.23 223 227 Davidson AA = 32.32 4 7 34.22( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.35 230 | 34.38 221 228 Jackson State AA = 32.08 7 5 32.24( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.37 228 | 33.20 226 229 NC Central AA = 29.97 4 7 43.27( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.64 226 | 27.41 231 230 Alabama A&M AA = 29.95 5 7 36.79( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.72 231 | 30.66 228 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 231 Wagner AA = 27.98 3 8 37.65( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.55 229 | 25.52 234 232 Winston-Salem State AA = 26.78 3 8 35.12( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.98 234 | 27.11 232 233 Indiana State AA = 26.64 0 12 51.50( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.40 232 | 23.86 237 234 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 25.20 3 9 33.40( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.72 242 | 28.82 230 235 Alabama State AA = 25.07 3 8 38.28( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.34 237 | 26.88 233 236 Valparaiso AA = 24.34 3 8 35.69( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.10 233 | 19.56 241 237 NC A&T AA = 23.12 3 9 37.53( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.34 235 | 19.41 242 238 Iona AA = 22.69 3 8 42.82( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.40 236 | 19.91 239 239 Howard AA = 22.65 1 10 36.01( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.06 239 | 24.33 236 240 Alcorn State AA = 22.14 2 10 37.44( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 17.34 243 | 24.99 235 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 241 Savannah State AA = 21.08 5 7 33.40( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.20 240 | 22.27 238 242 St. Francis-Pa. AA = 20.22 0 11 40.32( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.29 238 | 19.68 240 243 Texas Southern AA = 17.41 4 8 37.27( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.86 245 | 19.02 243 244 Campbell AA = 15.57 1 10 36.79( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.18 241 | 6.27 245 245 Miss. Valley State AA = 15.36 3 8 30.20( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 16.15 244 | 13.90 244 246 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 15 88 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 246 | -90.00 246 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
There are two group ratings, the "central mean" and the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean")
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is in a sense the continuous version of the discrete "tri-mean".
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 78.31 79.08 ( 1) 12
2 BIG 12 (A) = 77.86 77.80 ( 2) 12
3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 77.70 77.67 ( 3) 12
4 PAC-10 (A) = 76.14 75.39 ( 4) 10
5 BIG EAST (A) = 75.23 74.11 ( 5) 8
6 BIG TEN (A) = 73.21 73.49 ( 6) 11
7 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.90 71.72 ( 7) 9
8 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 65.88 65.75 ( 8) 12
9 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 64.26 63.74 ( 10) 4
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 63.91 64.18 ( 9) 9
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.96 61.67 ( 11) 13
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 60.84 60.64 ( 12) 12
13 SUN BELT (A) = 60.77 60.24 ( 13) 8
14 SOUTHERN (AA)= 57.08 56.48 ( 14) 9
15 BIG SKY (AA)= 53.64 54.12 ( 15) 9
16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 49.80 49.30 ( 18) 9
17 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 49.15 49.53 ( 17) 8
18 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 48.95 47.91 ( 20) 7
19 GREAT WEST (AA)= 48.84 50.12 ( 16) 5
20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 48.71 48.27 ( 19) 8
21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 46.45 46.77 ( 21) 7
22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.91 41.91 ( 22) 9
23 NORTHEAST (AA)= 39.10 38.76 ( 23) 8
24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 36.62 36.47 ( 24) 10
25 PIONEER (AA)= 35.03 34.43 ( 25) 9
26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 29.01 29.08 ( 27) 5
27 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 28.95 29.63 ( 26) 10
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS
3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 77.70 77.67 ( 3) 12
5 BIG EAST (A) = 75.23 74.11 ( 5) 8
6 BIG TEN (A) = 73.21 73.49 ( 6) 11
2 BIG 12 (A) = 77.86 77.80 ( 2) 12
8 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 65.88 65.75 ( 8) 12
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.96 61.67 ( 11) 13
7 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.90 71.72 ( 7) 9
4 PAC-10 (A) = 76.14 75.39 ( 4) 10
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 78.31 79.08 ( 1) 12
13 SUN BELT (A) = 60.77 60.24 ( 13) 8
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 63.91 64.18 ( 9) 9
9 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 64.26 63.74 ( 10) 4
15 BIG SKY (AA)= 53.64 54.12 ( 15) 9
21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 46.45 46.77 ( 21) 7
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 60.84 60.64 ( 12) 12
19 GREAT WEST (AA)= 48.84 50.12 ( 16) 5
20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 48.71 48.27 ( 19) 8
24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 36.62 36.47 ( 24) 10
16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 49.80 49.30 ( 18) 9
23 NORTHEAST (AA)= 39.10 38.76 ( 23) 8
22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.91 41.91 ( 22) 9
18 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 48.95 47.91 ( 20) 7
25 PIONEER (AA)= 35.03 34.43 ( 25) 9
14 SOUTHERN (AA)= 57.08 56.48 ( 14) 9
17 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 49.15 49.53 ( 17) 8
27 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 28.95 29.63 ( 26) 10
26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 29.01 29.08 ( 27) 5
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 77.70 77.67 ( 3) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 17 Florida State A = 83.18 9 4 71.96( 48) 0 1 | 2 3 | 82.17 16 | 83.78 19 18 Virginia Tech A = 82.93 10 4 73.89( 26) 0 0 | 3 2 | 84.01 14 | 81.54 23 25 Wake Forest A = 79.43 8 5 76.16( 9) 1 0 | 3 1 | 79.56 26 | 78.86 29 28 Boston College A = 78.94 9 5 73.02( 35) 0 0 | 3 3 | 78.60 28 | 78.82 30 29 North Carolina A = 78.88 8 5 74.32( 21) 0 0 | 1 2 | 78.22 33 | 79.08 27 30 Clemson A = 78.87 7 6 73.83( 29) 0 1 | 1 4 | 76.73 41 | 80.78 24 35 Miami-Florida A = 77.42 7 6 75.38( 15) 0 1 | 2 4 | 77.21 36 | 77.18 35 36 Georgia Tech A = 77.13 9 4 72.79( 40) 0 0 | 4 3 | 80.49 23 | 74.00 46 46 Maryland A = 74.83 8 5 73.01( 36) 0 0 | 4 3 | 78.44 30 | 71.45 65 47 Virginia A = 74.77 5 7 78.13( 2) 0 1 | 1 4 | 76.09 44 | 73.14 51 55 NC State A = 73.34 6 7 76.05( 10) 0 0 | 2 3 | 74.52 49 | 71.82 60 57 Duke A = 72.35 4 8 76.50( 6) 0 0 | 0 4 | 72.68 59 | 71.59 63 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 BIG EAST (A) = 75.23 74.11 ( 5) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 26 West Virginia A = 79.27 9 4 72.09( 47) 0 0 | 1 1 | 79.94 25 | 78.21 32 27 Pittsburgh A = 79.03 9 4 74.00( 25) 0 0 | 2 1 | 79.09 27 | 78.53 31 34 Cincinnati A = 77.89 11 3 70.33( 60) 0 1 | 2 2 | 81.32 19 | 74.73 43 37 Rutgers A = 77.11 8 5 69.09( 73) 0 0 | 1 2 | 76.88 38 | 76.89 36 40 Connecticut A = 76.40 8 5 71.27( 53) 0 0 | 0 3 | 76.34 43 | 76.01 38 43 South Florida A = 75.67 8 5 69.41( 71) 0 0 | 0 2 | 75.17 47 | 75.70 40 92 Louisville A = 64.95 5 7 68.17( 81) 0 0 | 0 2 | 68.78 74 | 61.02 105 104 Syracuse A = 62.60 3 9 73.15( 34) 0 1 | 0 3 | 65.85 94 | 59.07 117 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 BIG TEN (A) = 73.21 73.49 ( 6) TEAMS= 11 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 8 Penn State A = 88.26 11 2 71.19( 55) 0 1 | 2 2 | 84.07 13 | 94.30 5 14 Ohio State A = 84.83 10 3 72.24( 46) 0 3 | 0 3 | 82.00 17 | 87.87 9 22 Iowa A = 81.79 9 4 70.08( 63) 1 0 | 1 1 | 77.10 37 | 88.20 8 33 Michigan State A = 78.17 9 4 72.73( 41) 0 1 | 1 4 | 78.37 31 | 77.54 34 44 Northwestern A = 75.18 9 4 69.50( 70) 0 0 | 1 2 | 74.34 50 | 75.59 41 61 Wisconsin A = 71.53 7 6 71.34( 52) 0 1 | 0 4 | 71.00 64 | 71.60 62 68 Illinois A = 70.07 5 7 70.30( 61) 0 1 | 1 3 | 67.45 82 | 72.46 58 75 Minnesota A = 68.46 7 6 68.68( 79) 0 0 | 0 2 | 68.42 76 | 68.05 75 78 Purdue A = 67.89 4 8 71.73( 49) 0 1 | 0 4 | 65.48 95 | 69.98 68 95 Michigan A = 64.28 3 9 72.61( 44) 0 2 | 0 3 | 62.36 105 | 65.79 83 125 Indiana A = 57.94 3 9 67.82( 83) 0 1 | 0 2 | 59.15 118 | 56.29 133 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 BIG 12 (A) = 77.86 77.80 ( 2) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 3 Oklahoma A = 94.15 12 2 76.38( 7) 2 2 | 5 2 | 91.12 4 | 97.91 3 4 Texas A = 93.50 12 1 75.47( 14) 1 1 | 4 1 | 91.62 3 | 95.25 4 9 Texas Tech A = 86.75 11 2 73.83( 27) 1 2 | 3 2 | 85.93 9 | 87.15 12 19 Missouri A = 82.80 10 4 72.33( 45) 0 2 | 1 3 | 80.74 22 | 84.65 17 20 Oklahoma State A = 82.16 9 4 72.65( 43) 0 3 | 1 4 | 80.41 24 | 83.61 20 23 Nebraska A = 80.70 9 4 72.89( 38) 0 2 | 1 4 | 80.81 21 | 80.16 25 31 Kansas A = 78.80 8 5 72.81( 39) 0 3 | 1 4 | 78.24 32 | 78.91 28 66 Baylor A = 71.06 4 8 75.01( 17) 0 3 | 0 7 | 68.52 75 | 73.36 50 72 Colorado A = 69.36 5 7 74.83( 19) 0 1 | 1 5 | 72.45 62 | 66.20 81 74 Kansas State A = 68.69 5 7 70.18( 62) 0 2 | 0 4 | 67.95 81 | 68.99 72 89 Texas A&M A = 65.14 4 8 73.64( 30) 0 3 | 0 4 | 66.03 88 | 63.84 92 114 Iowa State A = 60.47 2 10 71.45( 51) 0 0 | 0 4 | 58.54 121 | 61.96 99 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 65.88 65.75 ( 8) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 42 Tulsa A = 75.98 11 3 63.55( 109) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.83 52 | 77.88 33 48 Rice A = 74.76 10 3 66.05( 88) 0 1 | 0 1 | 76.83 39 | 72.50 57 52 Houston A = 73.79 8 5 65.84( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 73.26 54 | 73.86 47 54 East Carolina A = 73.44 9 5 69.80( 67) 0 0 | 2 0 | 74.86 48 | 71.71 61 67 Southern Miss A = 70.57 7 6 66.62( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.79 72 | 71.98 59 90 UTEP A = 65.11 5 7 67.96( 82) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.22 97 | 64.54 90 99 Memphis A = 63.60 6 7 64.79( 97) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.05 99 | 62.71 96 101 Marshall A = 62.85 4 8 68.80( 77) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.85 98 | 60.49 110 110 Central Florida A = 61.39 4 8 67.66( 84) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.37 104 | 59.99 112 116 UAB A = 60.11 4 8 64.79( 96) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.07 107 | 57.74 125 148 Tulane A = 53.78 2 10 68.69( 78) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.55 137 | 51.50 153 149 SMU A = 53.66 1 11 70.05( 64) 0 2 | 0 2 | 52.95 146 | 53.91 145 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.96 61.67 ( 11) TEAMS= 13 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 65 Ball State A = 71.12 12 2 60.67( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.27 66 | 71.53 64 76 Buffalo A = 68.26 8 6 65.66( 92) 0 0 | 0 2 | 68.19 78 | 67.88 76 79 Western Michigan A = 67.49 9 4 62.39( 116) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.66 68 | 65.04 88 88 Bowling Green A = 65.29 6 6 63.83( 106) 0 0 | 1 1 | 62.60 102 | 67.66 77 96 Central Michigan A = 64.03 8 5 63.27( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.35 96 | 62.30 97 98 Temple A = 63.78 5 7 65.26( 93) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.53 111 | 65.64 84 100 Northern Illinois A = 63.35 6 7 61.03( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.32 113 | 64.96 89 108 Akron A = 61.94 5 7 63.97( 103) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.19 114 | 62.24 98 120 Ohio University A = 58.74 4 8 63.94( 104) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.78 130 | 59.26 114 130 Kent State A = 56.66 4 8 61.95( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.21 132 | 56.66 131 134 Toledo A = 55.65 3 9 64.15( 100) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.24 131 | 54.60 142 147 Eastern Michigan A = 54.06 3 9 62.86( 115) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.21 140 | 52.43 150 157 Miami-Ohio A = 51.34 2 10 64.11( 101) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.66 154 | 50.56 158 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.90 71.72 ( 7) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 5 Utah A = 91.37 13 0 70.85( 56) 2 0 | 3 0 | 96.73 1 | 87.75 10 7 TCU A = 89.09 11 2 69.77( 69) 0 2 | 1 2 | 88.75 7 | 88.98 7 32 BYU A = 78.66 10 3 69.05( 74) 0 2 | 0 3 | 77.55 34 | 79.36 26 56 Air Force A = 72.95 8 5 68.95( 75) 0 2 | 0 2 | 72.45 61 | 72.99 53 73 Colorado State A = 68.74 7 6 70.58( 58) 0 2 | 0 3 | 73.19 55 | 64.52 91 84 New Mexico A = 66.29 4 8 71.25( 54) 0 2 | 1 2 | 65.93 91 | 66.19 82 94 UNLV A = 64.84 5 7 69.82( 66) 0 2 | 0 2 | 66.40 86 | 62.91 95 122 Wyoming A = 58.14 4 8 69.31( 72) 0 2 | 0 2 | 62.23 106 | 53.60 146 136 San Diego State A = 55.43 2 10 69.97( 65) 0 2 | 0 2 | 58.34 124 | 51.98 152 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 PAC-10 (A) = 76.14 75.39 ( 4) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 2 Southern California A = 94.85 12 1 75.23( 16) 1 0 | 5 1 | 90.60 5 | 102.16 2 11 Oregon A = 85.47 10 3 74.15( 22) 0 1 | 3 3 | 84.72 11 | 85.78 14 13 Oregon State A = 85.11 9 4 76.34( 8) 1 2 | 4 3 | 84.25 12 | 85.54 15 16 California A = 83.58 9 4 74.07( 24) 0 1 | 1 3 | 81.90 18 | 84.96 16 24 Arizona A = 80.50 8 5 70.63( 57) 0 1 | 1 3 | 77.21 35 | 84.11 18 50 Stanford A = 74.01 5 7 75.87( 12) 0 2 | 2 4 | 72.45 60 | 75.20 42 59 Arizona State A = 71.84 5 7 73.38( 32) 0 1 | 0 6 | 69.84 67 | 73.51 49 80 UCLA A = 66.91 4 8 74.95( 18) 0 1 | 0 5 | 68.26 77 | 65.18 86 129 Washington A = 56.68 0 12 78.21( 1) 0 2 | 0 6 | 55.86 135 | 57.05 129 138 Washington State A = 54.91 2 11 74.08( 23) 0 1 | 0 6 | 59.43 117 | 49.70 161 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 78.31 79.08 ( 1) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Florida A = 98.74 13 1 76.87( 4) 2 1 | 5 1 | 95.76 2 | 102.62 1 6 Alabama A = 89.48 12 2 73.83( 28) 1 2 | 4 2 | 89.52 6 | 89.00 6 10 Mississippi A = 86.28 9 4 74.65( 20) 2 1 | 3 2 | 84.88 10 | 87.34 11 15 Georgia A = 84.81 10 3 75.98( 11) 0 2 | 1 2 | 85.98 8 | 83.36 21 21 LSU A = 81.96 8 5 73.34( 33) 0 3 | 0 4 | 81.15 20 | 82.34 22 38 South Carolina A = 77.06 7 6 77.13( 3) 1 1 | 1 5 | 76.82 40 | 76.84 37 39 Vanderbilt A = 76.47 7 6 75.70( 13) 1 1 | 2 3 | 78.44 29 | 74.32 45 49 Kentucky A = 74.41 7 6 70.48( 59) 0 2 | 0 3 | 75.81 46 | 72.70 54 58 Tennessee A = 71.95 5 7 73.40( 31) 0 2 | 0 3 | 70.83 65 | 72.64 56 60 Auburn A = 71.69 5 7 72.99( 37) 0 2 | 0 5 | 71.83 63 | 71.10 66 64 Arkansas A = 71.22 5 7 76.61( 5) 0 4 | 1 4 | 74.31 51 | 68.11 74 93 Mississippi State A = 64.91 4 8 72.73( 42) 0 2 | 0 3 | 68.79 73 | 60.95 106 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 13 SUN BELT (A) = 60.77 60.24 ( 13) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 70 Troy A = 69.84 8 5 62.27( 117) 0 0 | 0 3 | 66.84 85 | 72.69 55 102 Florida Atlantic A = 62.82 7 6 64.85( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 66.31 87 | 59.09 116 106 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 62.26 6 6 63.00( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.15 101 | 60.94 107 107 Arkansas State A = 62.26 6 6 60.92( 124) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.17 100 | 60.92 108 112 Middle Tennessee A = 60.77 5 7 63.00( 113) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.02 108 | 59.10 115 113 Fla. International A = 60.73 5 7 63.86( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.89 115 | 60.12 111 135 Louisiana-Monroe A = 55.62 4 8 61.93( 120) 0 1 | 0 1 | 57.85 128 | 52.88 147 171 North Texas A = 47.61 1 11 65.96( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.21 155 | 42.98 200 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 63.91 64.18 ( 9) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 12 Boise State A = 85.13 12 1 64.86( 94) 0 1 | 1 1 | 83.76 15 | 86.13 13 71 Nevada A = 69.74 7 6 66.60( 86) 0 1 | 0 3 | 69.53 69 | 69.49 70 86 Fresno State A = 65.70 7 6 65.93( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.01 80 | 63.10 94 87 Louisiana Tech A = 65.44 8 5 63.13( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.84 71 | 61.91 100 91 Hawaii A = 65.04 7 7 68.86( 76) 0 1 | 0 3 | 68.19 79 | 61.69 101 105 San Jose State A = 62.51 6 6 64.49( 98) 0 0 | 0 2 | 65.90 92 | 58.86 119 115 Utah State A = 60.40 3 9 69.80( 68) 0 1 | 0 3 | 61.78 110 | 58.59 121 146 New Mexico State A = 54.13 3 9 63.14( 111) 0 0 | 0 2 | 58.02 127 | 49.56 163 162 Idaho A = 49.50 2 10 64.32( 99) 0 0 | 0 2 | 54.23 142 | 43.52 196 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 64.26 63.74 ( 10) TEAMS= 4 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 51 Navy A = 73.87 8 5 68.19( 80) 0 0 | 1 2 | 72.71 57 | 74.61 44 53 Notre Dame A = 73.75 7 6 71.61( 50) 0 1 | 0 4 | 73.35 53 | 73.69 48 128 Army A = 56.81 3 9 66.27( 87) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.60 120 | 54.56 143 161 Western Kentucky A = 50.54 2 10 64.08( 102) 0 1 | 0 2 | 49.51 159 | 51.10 157 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 15 BIG SKY (AA)= 53.64 54.12 ( 15) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 62 Montana AA = 71.52 14 2 55.94( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.90 56 | 69.80 69 85 Weber State AA = 66.28 10 4 60.25( 127) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.08 84 | 65.06 87 121 Eastern Washington AA = 58.46 6 5 59.00( 132) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.43 123 | 58.04 123 143 Montana State AA = 54.34 7 5 56.29( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.82 129 | 50.24 159 145 Northern Arizona AA = 54.14 6 5 55.69( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.99 141 | 52.82 148 158 Sacramento State AA = 51.00 6 6 55.87( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.89 153 | 49.61 162 172 Portland State AA = 47.15 4 7 54.87( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.40 164 | 45.36 186 194 Northern Colorado AA = 43.87 1 10 55.85( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.01 199 | 46.03 181 206 Idaho State AA = 40.35 1 11 57.93( 138) 0 0 | 0 1 | 40.77 201 | 39.45 210 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 46.45 46.77 ( 21) TEAMS= 7 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 123 Liberty AA = 58.06 10 2 47.30( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.06 143 | 61.62 102 169 Charleston Southern AA = 47.81 7 5 50.78( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.90 167 | 47.27 173 173 Stony Brook AA = 47.01 5 6 49.56( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.85 168 | 45.67 184 177 Coastal Carolina AA = 46.52 6 6 47.35( 192) 0 1 | 0 1 | 44.80 180 | 47.73 169 185 VMI AA = 45.16 4 7 50.41( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.32 198 | 48.11 168 193 Gardner-Webb AA = 44.17 5 6 48.12( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.61 196 | 46.08 180 209 Presbyterian College AA = 38.64 4 8 52.06( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.00 207 | 38.83 213 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12 COLONIAL (AA)= 60.84 60.64 ( 12) TEAMS= 12 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 41 Richmond AA = 76.23 13 3 60.52( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.06 45 | 75.96 39 45 James Madison AA = 74.98 12 2 61.70( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.57 42 | 73.13 52 63 Villanova AA = 71.24 10 3 61.20( 122) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.68 58 | 69.47 71 81 New Hampshire AA = 66.76 10 3 56.43( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.98 90 | 67.09 78 82 William & Mary AA = 66.66 7 4 58.00( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.00 89 | 66.86 79 103 Massachusetts AA = 62.72 7 5 59.94( 128) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.47 112 | 63.52 93 109 Maine AA = 61.45 8 5 57.72( 139) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.56 103 | 59.92 113 132 Delaware AA = 55.92 4 8 63.79( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.52 138 | 55.87 135 155 Hofstra AA = 51.94 4 8 59.90( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.01 150 | 51.41 155 168 Northeastern AA = 48.31 2 10 59.76( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.10 173 | 49.04 164 179 Rhode Island AA = 46.38 3 9 58.35( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.51 170 | 44.70 192 186 Towson AA = 45.06 3 9 58.88( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.62 181 | 45.04 189 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19 GREAT WEST (AA)= 48.84 50.12 ( 16) TEAMS= 5 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 97 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 63.82 8 3 52.15( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.88 109 | 65.35 85 166 UC Davis AA = 48.62 5 7 50.42( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.80 174 | 49.92 160 174 Southern Utah AA = 46.87 4 7 56.94( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.40 171 | 45.85 183 176 South Dakota AA = 46.63 6 5 55.40( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.05 184 | 48.60 166 191 North Dakota AA = 44.68 6 4 49.61( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.87 188 | 45.02 190 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 48.71 48.27 ( 19) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 117 Harvard AA = 60.05 9 1 48.72( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.31 125 | 61.35 103 139 Brown AA = 54.86 7 3 48.06( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.43 148 | 56.79 130 151 Pennsylvania AA = 53.36 6 4 49.15( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.56 157 | 55.63 136 152 Yale AA = 53.20 6 4 46.75( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.15 166 | 57.50 128 180 Princeton AA = 46.16 4 6 49.69( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.84 179 | 47.00 176 195 Cornell AA = 43.78 4 6 48.88( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.92 186 | 43.17 198 204 Columbia AA = 40.72 2 8 49.05( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.65 209 | 42.98 199 223 Dartmouth AA = 34.06 0 10 52.90( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.44 222 | 34.21 224 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 36.62 36.47 ( 24) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 140 SC State AA = 54.59 10 3 44.34( 203) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.71 145 | 55.01 138 188 Florida A&M AA = 45.03 9 3 35.68( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.95 194 | 47.38 171 203 Bethune-Cookman AA = 41.16 8 3 33.01( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.43 204 | 42.34 203 207 Morgan State AA = 39.02 6 6 40.25( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.50 213 | 40.83 205 210 Hampton AA = 38.60 6 5 37.90( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.96 211 | 39.70 208 215 Norfolk State AA = 37.19 5 7 43.31( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.99 225 | 40.16 207 216 Delaware State AA = 36.56 5 6 38.84( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.29 215 | 37.31 215 232 Winston-Salem State AA = 26.78 3 8 35.12( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.98 234 | 27.11 232 237 NC A&T AA = 23.12 3 9 37.53( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.34 235 | 19.41 242 239 Howard AA = 22.65 1 10 36.01( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.06 239 | 24.33 236 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 49.80 49.30 ( 18) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 83 Northern Iowa AA = 66.34 12 3 52.84( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.86 93 | 66.35 80 118 Southern Illinois AA = 58.78 9 3 50.41( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.23 126 | 58.87 118 137 South Dakota State AA = 55.41 7 5 50.88( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.61 147 | 57.71 126 150 North Dakota State AA = 53.60 6 5 47.78( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.50 163 | 57.96 124 153 Western Illinois AA = 52.34 6 5 50.62( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.13 160 | 54.96 140 196 Missouri State AA = 43.72 4 7 52.30( 161) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.52 182 | 42.41 202 198 Youngstown State AA = 43.52 4 8 53.87( 154) 0 0 | 0 1 | 43.10 191 | 43.48 197 199 Illinois State AA = 43.31 3 8 49.62( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.73 203 | 46.02 182 233 Indiana State AA = 26.64 0 12 51.50( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.40 232 | 23.86 237 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 23 NORTHEAST (AA)= 39.10 38.76 ( 23) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 131 Albany-NY AA = 55.98 9 3 45.13( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.42 139 | 56.09 134 175 Monmouth-NJ AA = 46.65 7 4 41.73( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.75 177 | 47.08 174 187 Central Connecticut AA = 45.04 7 4 38.77( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.51 193 | 46.94 177 205 Sacred Heart AA = 40.37 8 3 36.45( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.89 200 | 39.34 211 212 Robert Morris AA = 38.31 5 6 38.87( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.88 212 | 39.22 212 218 Duquesne AA = 35.55 3 7 39.88( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.48 220 | 36.99 216 231 Wagner AA = 27.98 3 8 37.65( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.55 229 | 25.52 234 242 St. Francis-Pa. AA = 20.22 0 11 40.32( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.29 238 | 19.68 240 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.91 41.91 ( 22) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 159 Jacksonville State AA = 50.90 8 3 43.14( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.71 162 | 52.57 149 164 Eastern Kentucky AA = 48.78 8 4 47.26( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.73 158 | 47.33 172 167 Tennessee-Martin AA = 48.52 8 4 48.12( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.61 169 | 48.97 165 184 Tennessee State AA = 45.33 8 4 39.75( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.54 189 | 46.59 178 200 Eastern Illinois AA = 42.69 5 7 45.31( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.22 202 | 44.52 193 214 Murray State AA = 37.26 5 7 44.94( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.31 205 | 34.32 222 217 SE Missouri State AA = 35.68 4 8 45.20( 199) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.50 214 | 35.39 217 219 Austin Peay AA = 34.93 2 9 45.45( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.02 217 | 35.36 218 224 Tennessee Tech AA = 33.05 3 9 47.57( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.86 216 | 30.35 229 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 18 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 48.95 47.91 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 133 Holy Cross AA = 55.86 7 4 49.73( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.42 149 | 58.79 120 142 Lafayette AA = 54.42 7 4 48.07( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.58 156 | 57.67 127 144 Colgate AA = 54.24 9 3 50.01( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.79 136 | 52.20 151 160 Lehigh AA = 50.82 5 6 49.33( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.75 176 | 54.97 139 182 Fordham AA = 45.60 5 6 45.88( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.99 192 | 47.57 170 202 Bucknell AA = 41.36 5 6 44.91( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.91 195 | 40.31 206 225 Georgetown AA = 33.05 2 8 48.65( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.47 221 | 32.14 227 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 25 PIONEER (AA)= 35.03 34.43 ( 25) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 183 San Diego AA = 45.40 9 2 34.09( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.21 190 | 47.00 175 189 Jacksonville AA = 44.85 9 4 38.17( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.41 183 | 44.84 191 192 Dayton AA = 44.22 9 3 34.77( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.39 197 | 46.35 179 220 Butler AA = 34.80 6 5 34.38( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.99 219 | 35.14 219 221 Drake AA = 34.22 6 5 36.56( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.99 218 | 34.00 225 222 Morehead State AA = 34.14 6 6 35.06( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.43 223 | 34.38 220 227 Davidson AA = 32.32 4 7 34.22( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.35 230 | 34.38 221 236 Valparaiso AA = 24.34 3 8 35.69( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.10 233 | 19.56 241 244 Campbell AA = 15.57 1 10 36.79( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.18 241 | 6.27 245 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 14 SOUTHERN (AA)= 57.08 56.48 ( 14) TEAMS= 9 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 69 Appalachian State AA = 70.00 11 3 57.45( 140) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.28 70 | 70.26 67 77 Wofford AA = 67.95 9 3 56.57( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.33 83 | 68.12 73 111 Elon AA = 60.92 8 4 55.61( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.71 116 | 60.67 109 119 Samford AA = 58.76 6 5 59.82( 130) 0 1 | 0 1 | 55.91 134 | 61.16 104 124 Furman AA = 58.01 7 5 58.72( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.01 119 | 56.55 132 126 Georgia Southern AA = 57.38 6 5 56.03( 145) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.20 133 | 58.10 122 156 Citadel AA = 51.84 4 8 62.07( 118) 0 1 | 0 2 | 48.83 161 | 54.27 144 190 Western Carolina AA = 44.85 3 9 58.72( 135) 0 0 | 0 1 | 43.94 185 | 45.30 187 211 Chattanooga AA = 38.58 1 11 63.69( 108) 0 1 | 0 2 | 38.63 206 | 38.07 214 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 17 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 49.15 49.53 ( 17) TEAMS= 8 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 127 Central Arkansas AA = 57.24 10 2 48.62( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.50 122 | 55.51 137 141 McNeese State AA = 54.44 7 4 53.77( 155) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.79 144 | 54.62 141 154 Texas State AA = 51.96 8 5 48.57( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.97 151 | 51.49 154 163 Northwestern State AA = 48.91 7 5 53.09( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.89 152 | 45.13 188 170 Sam Houston State AA = 47.65 4 6 52.68( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.24 175 | 48.57 167 178 Nicholls State AA = 46.46 3 6 53.59( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.33 165 | 43.95 194 181 SE Louisiana AA = 45.92 5 7 49.94( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.31 172 | 43.95 195 197 Stephen F. Austin AA = 43.63 4 8 54.94( 152) 0 1 | 0 1 | 43.89 187 | 42.90 201 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 27 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 28.95 29.63 ( 26) TEAMS= 10 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 165 Grambling AA = 48.76 11 2 33.62( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.47 178 | 51.37 156 201 Prairie View A&M AA = 42.25 9 1 28.07( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.96 208 | 45.43 185 213 Southern University AA = 38.09 6 5 35.91( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.32 224 | 41.45 204 228 Jackson State AA = 32.08 7 5 32.24( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.37 228 | 33.20 226 230 Alabama A&M AA = 29.95 5 7 36.79( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.72 231 | 30.66 228 234 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 25.20 3 9 33.40( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.72 242 | 28.82 230 235 Alabama State AA = 25.07 3 8 38.28( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.34 237 | 26.88 233 240 Alcorn State AA = 22.14 2 10 37.44( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 17.34 243 | 24.99 235 243 Texas Southern AA = 17.41 4 8 37.27( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.86 245 | 19.02 243 245 Miss. Valley State AA = 15.36 3 8 30.20( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 16.15 244 | 13.90 244 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 29.01 29.08 ( 27) TEAMS= 5 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 208 Bryant AA = 38.65 7 4 37.78( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.09 210 | 39.68 209 226 Marist AA = 33.03 4 7 36.31( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.24 227 | 34.23 223 229 NC Central AA = 29.97 4 7 43.27( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.64 226 | 27.41 231 238 Iona AA = 22.69 3 8 42.82( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.40 236 | 19.91 239 241 Savannah State AA = 21.08 5 7 33.40( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.20 240 | 22.27 238 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) TEAMS= 1 FINAL College Football 2008 through games of 2009 January 8 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 2.62 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 246 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 15 88 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 246 | -90.00 246 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________endfile